On January 5, 2021, voters in Georgia will head to the polls to participate in the most consequential Senate runoffs in modern history, the outcomes of which will decide which party controls the Senate, and if the Biden administration enters with a united or divided government.
Already, more than…
With the election results now certified, it’s easier to begin analyzing what happened. Inside Elections is excited to roll out updates to our Baseline metric, now incorporating results from 2020. Baseline captures a state or congressional district’s political performance by combining all federal…
In the six weeks since November 3rd, much has been said about the performance of election polling. Were the polls good enough, or were they catastrophically wrong? The answer of course depends on whom you ask, but one thing is clear: pollsters could have done better.
To be fair, the argument is…
California Dreamin’
Senate. Soon to be vacant due to Kamala Harris’s election as vice president. Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom will appoint a successor to Harris, and this seat was already scheduled for an election in 2022. Various constituencies are reportedly lobbying Newsom for their preferred…
What happened in the elections matters less than what the politicians think happened in the elections. It’s a lesson from earlier this summer, and no more applicable than right now.
Republicans could have taken President Donald Trump’s defeat, another two years in the House minority and a loss of…
More than 158 million voters cast ballots in the November election. And while Joe Biden won the Electoral College (by a margin Republicans called a landslide four years ago) and Democrats maintained control of the House, the emerging narrative is one of Republican resurgence and resilience down the…
What defines a competitive race and who deems it so?
In the final months of the campaign, Oregon’s 4th District was home to one of hottest races in the country. Republicans and Democrats poured millions of dollars into the contest between Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio and Republican Alek…
The outcome of Georgia’s two Senate runoffs on January 5 will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate, and whether President-elect Joe Biden has any chance of enacting the kind of legislative agenda Democrats have long envisioned.
With such high stakes, neither party is sparing any expense…
Read an update on the special election in Louisiana's 2nd District here.
President-elect Joe Biden’s decision to bring Democratic Rep. Cedric Richmond with him to the White House as a senior adviser sets up what is likely to be the first special election of 2021.
With Democrats’ House majority…
