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West Virginia House: Musical Chairs

by Jacob Rubashkin April 23, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

After outperforming expectations in 2020, Republicans can taste the House majority. But they’re guaranteed to lose a seat in West Virginia and will have to gain a district elsewhere on their way to 218 seats. 

In the Senate, West Virginia is as powerful as it has been since the death of legendary…

Taking Stock of Initial NRCC and DCCC Targets

by Jacob Rubashkin April 23, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

The 117th Congress has only been in session for a few months, but that has not stopped the parties from laying the groundwork for the 2022 midterm elections.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee recently released a list of 22 GOP-held or open seats Democrats plan to target in 2022. The…

Report Shorts (April 23, 2021)

by Jacob Rubashkin April 23, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Florida’s 20th District
The death of Democratic Rep. Alcee Hastings, who represented parts of Broward and Palm Beach Counties for more than 28 years, has set off a large scrum for this solidly Democratic seat that Joe Biden carried by 55 points. The declared candidates already include state Sen.…

Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run

by Jacob Rubashkin April 12, 2021 · 12:21 PM EDT

Al Gross, the independent who ran for US Senate in Alaska in 2020 with backing from state and national Democrats and broke fundraising records but lost to incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan, is considering another run for the Senate in 2022.

Gross told Inside Elections that he is “certainly…

Few Opportunities as Parties Battle for Senate Control

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 12, 2021 · 9:20 AM EDT

It’s a good thing Republicans hoping to take control of the Senate next year don’t need to pick up more than one seat, because there’s a dearth of takeover options. Indeed, the Senate battleground at this point in the cycle has been smaller only once in the past 22 years.

At the outset of the 2022…

Let’s Talk About How We Talk About House Retirements

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 11, 2021 · 10:00 AM EDT

Welcome to a redistricting cycle, where the routine is more complicated. 

Typically, members announce they aren’t seeking reelection, political journalists produce long lists of people mentioned as contenders for the open seat and the race begins. In a redistricting cycle, however, it’s not clear…

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): No Margin for Error

April 1, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The country and Capitol Hill are so divided that Republicans and Democrats can’t agree on what to have for lunch on any particular day. But there’s one thing providing consensus: control of the Senate is on the line in 2022. 

Considering the Senate is…