Senate News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 69: Redistricting War Hits Virginia w/ Randi B. Hagi of WMRA

April 17, 2026 · 1:34 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Randi B. Hagi of WMRA Public Radio in Harrisonburg, Va. tackle the latest in the nationwide redistricting war. They analyze whether the Virginia referendum will pass, which Republican incumbents could be at risk of losing re-election from the Democratic-drawn map and how a new Virginia…

Podcast Episode 68: Best Campaign Ad Draft w/ Erin Covey and Kirk Bado

April 6, 2026 · 4:17 PM EDT

Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline draft the best and most iconic campaign ads of the 21st century. It’s spring break, so the crew also discusses their ideal vacation destinations, and some good books and articles they’ve…

Alaska Senate: Democrats Reach Into The Red

by Jacob Rubashkin March 26, 2026 · 2:30 PM EDT

The first Alaska Native to represent the Last Frontier in Congress could be the final piece for a Democratic Senate majority this fall.

Former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate rather than governor — a race she might have dominated wire to wire — puts this race in…

Ohio Senate: Can Husted Hold On?

by Jacob Rubashkin March 26, 2026 · 2:29 PM EDT

Ohio may have fallen out of the conversation as a presidential bellwether state. But it remains a critical piece of the Senate battleground, and the outcome of its 2026 race could determine majority control next year.

Sen. Jon Husted, appointed by Gov. Mike DeWine following the election of JD Vance…

Podcast Episode 67: Democrats Favored to Win House Majority w/ Mel McIntire of Roll Call

March 20, 2026 · 12:31 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Mary Ellen McIntire of Roll Call analyze the fight for the House majority including a dozen recent race rating changes by Inside Elections. Democrats need a net gain of three seats in the November general election and are favored to take control from Republicans. Mel…

Illinois Primary Results: Democrats Nominate Likely New Members

by Jacob Rubashkin March 18, 2026 · 12:36 PM EDT

Voters in Illinois headed to the polls Tuesday to choose their nominees for the open Senate seat vacated by Sen. Dick Durbin and a slew of open House seats. Both the Senate seat and the four open House districts are rated Solid Democratic, so the winners of the Democratic primaries…

House Overview: Democrats Favored to Win the Majority

March 12, 2026 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With less than eight months to go, the Republican House majority is at considerable risk. 

Historical midterm trends, President Donald Trump’s negative job rating and consistent Democratic overperformance in races around the country point to Democrats gaining at least the three seats they…

Senate Report Shorts (March 12, 2026)

March 12, 2026 · 2:26 PM EDT

Arkansas Senate. Farmer Hallie Shoffner won the Democratic primary with 78 percent last week and will face GOP Sen. Tom Cotton (82 percent in the GOP primary). Lightning might need to strike three times for Shoffner to win, but Democrats have a credible candidate in place if that happens. Solid…

Oklahoma Senate: Mullin Appointment Could Create Ripple Effect

March 5, 2026 · 4:04 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

President Donald Trump’s nomination of GOP Sen. Markwayne Mullin to be the next Secretary of Homeland Security is big news for the president’s cabinet, but it doesn’t likely alter the fight for Oklahoma’s Senate seat — or the majority — all that much. 

Montana Senate: Daines’ Drop Inserts Uncertainty

by Jacob Rubashkin March 5, 2026 · 9:11 AM EST

Montana Sen. Steve Daines ended his re-election bid just minutes before the filing deadline Wednesday in a move coordinated with US Attorney Kurt Alme, who filed at the same time and effectively clinched the GOP nomination without any other hopefuls having the opportunity to declare for the surprise open seat.