In 2016, Donald Trump shocked the world by flipping three “Blue Wall” states that had voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988: Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Although Barack Obama carried these states by comfortable margins in 2008 and 2012, Trump narrowly carried each of…
After President Donald Trump boosted down-ballot Republicans in 2020, the GOP might be excited about his reported plans to avenge his loss by immediately beginning a race for the presidency in 2024. But while he delivered the White House once before and has shown a unique ability to consistently…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin
Whenever Donald Trump is on the ballot, things don’t go according to plan. It may only be fitting for a year such as 2020 that we’re staring at a strange combination of election results and reaction.
Republicans are taking victory laps while Trump is…
The 2020 elections aren’t over yet. Republicans will hold at least 50 seats in the new Senate, while Democrats will hold at least 48. With Democrats Joe Biden and Kamala Harris emerging victorious in the presidential election, control of the chamber will come down to two Senate runoff elections in…
One of the first signs that we were in for a long election week was when Miami-Dade County, Florida released its first vote totals. Although Joe Biden won Miami-Dade County 53 percent to 46 percent, this was a substantial decline from Hillary Clinton’s 64 percent to 34 percent margin in 2016.
The…
Even though control of the Senate is hanging in the balance with the two runoffs in Georgia, we finally have results everywhere else. Here’s a brief summary of what happened in key Senate contests around the country.
Alabama. Tommy Tuberville (R) over Sen. Doug Jones (D) 60%-40%. GOP Takeover.…
On his way to becoming the first person to defeat an incumbent president since Bill Clinton in 1992, Joe Biden also replicated another one of the Arkansas governor’s feats: winning Georgia, something no Democratic presidential candidate has done in 28 years.
Along with Biden’s narrow win —…
While we won't know who controls the Senate next year until after the Georgia runoffs, the battle will continue into the 2022 midterms. Similar to 2020, Republicans will start on the defensive, and Democrats are initially poised to make gains once again. But the cycle will likely be defined by the…
If your job involves the elections, you’re going to be humbled at some point, and probably more than once. Apparently four years is long enough to almost forget the fun and challenges of handicapping an election with Donald Trump on the ballot.
With votes still being counted and races still to be…
An updated version of this article is available here.
With President Donald Trump’s initial lead dissipating in Georgia, GOP Sen. David Perdue looks increasingly likely to be forced into a January runoff against Democrat Jon Ossoff. Perdue’s share of the vote is close to dipping below 50 percent,…
