Each election cycle, race ratings are an integral part of the discussion about the fight for the House and Senate majorities. But where did they come from and how do they work?
While a few folks such as Kevin Phillips and Alan Baron dabbled with ratings going back to the late 1970s, the first…
Republican Sen. Rob Portman is not seeking re-election in Ohio, giving Democrats a glimmer of hope in a seat that didn’t look all that competitive at this early stage of the 2022 cycle.
The senator’s comments about “partisan gridlock” will add to the narrative that Republicans are in disarray in…
It doesn’t have the same pomp and circumstance as the presidential inauguration, but the Virginia gubernatorial election is the next big political event on the docket. As one of only two states electing a governor in 2021 (New Jersey is the other), all eyes often turn to Virginia at the beginning…
Rep. Deb Haaland made history in 2018 as one of the first two Native American women ever to be elected to Congress. In 2021, she’ll likely make history again as the first ever Native American cabinet secretary. The Democratic congresswoman from New Mexico’s 1st District has been nominated by…
Democrats’ quest to take back the Senate paid off this cycle, thanks in no small part to a slate of strong candidates. The unique benefit provided by these recruits, as well as the value of other 2020 Senate contenders, can be quantified using Vote Above Replacement (VAR). And it provides depth to…
The special election to succeed Democratic Rep. Cedric Richmond in Louisiana’s 2nd District has come into focus as the wide field of potential candidates narrows and national figures turn their attention to what may be the first special election of the Biden era.
Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards…
More than two months later, the 2020 elections are still handing out lessons. The latest: Don’t judge election projections until all the results have hatched.
Lost in the aftermath of the siege on the U.S. Capitol was the fact that Democrats won two Senate runoffs in Georgia. Not only does control…
At the final presidential debate of 2016, moderator Chris Wallace asked then-candidate Donald Trump if he would commit to abide by “one of the prides of this country...the peaceful transition of power.”
Trump responded, “I'll keep you in suspense, okay?”
More than four years later, after a…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
The invasion of the U.S. Capitol will live forever in America’s history. One of the core problems is that the country is so divided that people do not agree on the size of the stain.
The violent attempt to prevent Congress from ratifying Joe Biden’s…
