Archive

Nebraska 2: High Stakes in Omaha

by Jacob Rubashkin November 20, 2025 · 2:30 PM EST

Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon has frustrated Democrats ever since he was the only Republican to flip a House seat in the 2016 elections. The affable Air Force general has spent a decade beguiling Democrats even as his 2nd District has rejected Republicans up and down the ballot in most other races.

But…

Federal Court Strikes Down New Texas Map

by Jacob Rubashkin November 20, 2025 · 2:29 PM EST

A three-judge panel in El Paso ordered Texas to return to its old congressional map for the 2026 midterm elections, rather than implement a new map the GOP-run legislature passed earlier this year in an attempt to pick up as many as five seats.

Under intense pressure from the White House over the…

Tennessee 7: Democrats in the Green?

by Jacob Rubashkin November 20, 2025 · 2:28 PM EST

Republicans are rushing to prevent an upset in Middle Tennessee next month, as a sleepy special election to replace GOP Rep. Mark Green looks closer than initially expected. Inside Elections is shifting our rating from Solid Republican to Lean Republican to reflect the possibility of a Democratic…

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025 · 2:27 PM EST

California Governor. Billionaire Democratic donor Tom Steyer is running for governor. The 2020 presidential candidate joins a massive field of Democrats that also includes former Rep. Katie Porter, former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, former state…

2026 House Ratings (November 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025 · 2:25 PM EST

Could Democrats Break the Texas Gerrymander?

by Jacob Rubashkin November 12, 2025 · 1:39 PM EST

A strong showing among Latino voters in last week’s elections has some Democrats wondering if the party can turn Texas Republicans’ dream gerrymander into a nightmare next year. But even under the rosiest scenarios, Democrats will be hard-pressed to make significant inroads in the Lone Star State…

Podcast Episode 59: 2025 Election Results + Shutdown Politics w/ Leah Askarinam of the AP

November 12, 2025 · 8:30 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press discuss their key takeaways from the recent elections in Virginia, New Jersey, California and New York City and talk about how the recent Senate vote to end the government shutdown could impact the 2026 midterm elections.…

A Detailed Analysis of Utah’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich November 11, 2025 · 11:59 AM EST

Six states have now adopted new congressional lines for the 2026 midterms — a modern record for a cycle that doesn’t immediately follow a Census. On Monday night, Utah became the most recent member of that club after a judge approved a new map that will shake up the state’s congressional…

2026 House Ratings (November 11, 2025)

November 11, 2025 · 11:58 AM EST

Washington 3: Same Place, Different Face

by Jacob Rubashkin November 6, 2025 · 2:30 PM EST

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is one of the unlikeliest stories in the House of Representatives. First, the body shop owner who grew up in a Spanish-language evangelical church in Texas was the only Democrat to flip a Donald Trump-won district in a year that saw her party lose control of the House. Then,…