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2026 House Ratings (November 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025 · 2:25 PM EST

Could Democrats Break the Texas Gerrymander?

by Jacob Rubashkin November 12, 2025 · 1:39 PM EST

A strong showing among Latino voters in last week’s elections has some Democrats wondering if the party can turn Texas Republicans’ dream gerrymander into a nightmare next year. But even under the rosiest scenarios, Democrats will be hard-pressed to make significant inroads in the Lone Star State…

Podcast Episode 59: 2025 Election Results + Shutdown Politics w/ Leah Askarinam of the AP

November 12, 2025 · 8:30 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press discuss their key takeaways from the recent elections in Virginia, New Jersey, California and New York City and talk about how the recent Senate vote to end the government shutdown could impact the 2026 midterm elections.…

A Detailed Analysis of Utah’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich November 11, 2025 · 11:59 AM EST

Six states have now adopted new congressional lines for the 2026 midterms — a modern record for a cycle that doesn’t immediately follow a Census. On Monday night, Utah became the most recent member of that club after a judge approved a new map that will shake up the state’s congressional…

2026 House Ratings (November 11, 2025)

November 11, 2025 · 11:58 AM EST

Washington 3: Same Place, Different Face

by Jacob Rubashkin November 6, 2025 · 2:30 PM EST

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is one of the unlikeliest stories in the House of Representatives. First, the body shop owner who grew up in a Spanish-language evangelical church in Texas was the only Democrat to flip a Donald Trump-won district in a year that saw her party lose control of the House. Then,…

California House: Voters Enact New Map That Benefits Democrats

by Jacob Rubashkin November 6, 2025 · 2:29 PM EST

Democrats fought back against Republican redistricting efforts in Texas and elsewhere by drawing a new map in California, but needed voters to sign off on the changes. The answer from voters was a resounding yes, as the measure approving the new map passed by a wide margin, 64-36 percent, on…

Report Shorts (Nov. 6, 2025)

November 6, 2025 · 2:28 PM EST

California’s 11th District. Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, 85, announced she won’t seek re-election to her San Francisco-anchored district. She’ll be replaced by a Democrat, it’s just not clear which one. Pelosi has been in the House for nearly 40 years, so there are a lot of local Democrats…

Maine 2: Open Seat Shifts Toward Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 5, 2025 · 4:03 PM EST

Rep. Jared Golden brought Democrats back down to earth by announcing he won’t seek re-election in Maine’s 2nd District. His decision makes it extremely difficult for Democrats to hold the most Republican seat currently held by a Democrat. 

The 2nd voted for Donald Trump in three straight…