Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…
By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales
Approaching halfway through the cycle, the fight for the House majority remains the marquee event of the midterms. While the Senate usually gets more of the attention, the size of the GOP majority and slate of states on the ballot has made that chamber a…
Alabama. Filing deadline Jan. 23. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16.
1st District (Southern Alabama) Open; Barry Moore, R, running for Senate. Trump 77%. Former Rep. Jerry Carl is seeking his old seat back after losing to Moore in a member vs. member primary last year. The Moore family…
Kentucky. Filing deadline Jan. 9. Primary May 19.
6th District (Greater Lexington area) Open; Andy Barr, R, running for Senate. Trump 57%. Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado, state Rep. Ryan Dotson, and state Rep. Deanna Frazier Gordon make up the GOP primary field. On the Democratic side, former…
North Carolina. Filing deadline Dec. 19. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, re-elected 49.5%. Trump 51%. National Republican strategists like Rocky Mount Mayor Sandy Roberson, who narrowly lost the 2022 GOP primary. He’s…
Colorado Governor. GOP state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer announced her campaign for governor on Tuesday. She lost a close race to Democrat Yadira Caraveo in 2022 in the 8th District. The Republican field already has more than 10 candidates including state Sen. Mark Baisley and former Rep. Greg Lopez.…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade…
By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales
Republican Sen. Joni Ernst will not run for re-election, according to CBS News and several other outlets. The Iowa senator’s plans had been the subject of rumors in Washington, DC for months, after a rocky start to the year prompted speculation that she…
Governors are back in the national spotlight as state-level Republicans push forward an unprecedented mid-decade gerrymandering campaign and Democrats scramble to counter with their own redraws, with future presidential contenders such as California's Gavin Newsom, Florida’s Ron DeSantis,…
