Archive

Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2014 · 3:04 PM EDT

Plenty of Democrats woke up Friday morning with a case of deja vu. The latest survey for The Boston Globe showed Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley losing the race for governor of Massachusetts to Republican Charlie Baker, 45 percent to 36 percent. Once again, it’s Coakley struggling in a…

Seven More House Races Creep Toward Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2014 · 12:15 PM EDT

The good news for House Republicans just keeps coming as another half-dozen races shift in the GOP’s direction.

House races often get far less media attention than Senate races or gubernatorial contests, and they therefore often develop later in the cycle. With less than two weeks before the…

2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)

October 24, 2014 · 12:14 PM EDT

A Good Year May Not Save These Three Vulnerable House Republicans Either

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 23, 2014 · 1:27 PM EDT

In his recent column, “Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year,” Stu pointed out how a handful of under-performing Senate candidates could cost Republicans the majority. Similarly, though the House of Representatives is not in play, a trio of GOP incumbents could cost their party…

Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year

by Stuart Rothenberg October 23, 2014 · 9:24 AM EDT

Republicans have the wind at their backs this year. But not every GOP nominee is taking advantage of that dynamic. As usual, some candidates are under-performing, proving once again that candidates and the campaigns they choose to run actually matter.

That should come as no surprise to anyone…

South Dakota Senate Race Returning to Form

by Stuart Rothenberg October 22, 2014 · 3:30 PM EDT

Republican attacks on Democrat Rick Weiland and Independent Larry Pressler appear to have worked, making it more likely that the GOP will pick up the seat of retiring Democratic Senator Tim Johnson, as long expected.

Republican Mike Rounds, a former two-term GOP governor, found himself in…

Not His Father’s Arkansas

by Stuart Rothenberg October 20, 2014 · 10:27 AM EDT

I have been thinking for months about how politics has changed over the past decade, but those changes struck home in a very obvious way while I was reading a recent Washington Post article written by the very able Philip Rucker.

“Senator’s parents hit trail to preserve Ark. dynasty” was a…

Senate Outlook: Lots of Moving Pieces But Fundamentally Unchanged

by Stuart Rothenberg October 17, 2014 · 3:30 PM EDT

The arithmetic for Senate control in the midterms is more complicated and confused than ever, but it is also still very dangerous for Democrats.

Who would have thought that a little more than two weeks before the election Republican strategists would be trying to spending time and money to try…