The House playing field continues to shift in favor of Republicans as President Barack Obama’s slumping job approval numbers cast a shadow over the landscape and Democrats shift their financial resources from offensive opportunities to defensive positions.
At the beginning of the cycle, David…
While Democratic and Republican operatives have their own analysis on each race, they often agree on how close a race is and which candidate has the edge.
Sometimes, however, they have wildly different views on where races stand.
In California’s 52nd and Florida’s 2nd, for example, both…
While the campaign of Michigan GOP Senate nominee Terri Lynn Land crows about a new Wenzel Research poll showing her tailing Democratic nominee Gary Peters by less than three percentage points, it’s increasingly difficult to see this contest as highly competitive.
A year and a half ago, we…
A few weeks ago I wrote Senate Republicans would gain at least seven seats, even though the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call race ratings showed a likely Republican gain of five to eight seats.
That expectation was based on national survey results that showed the president extremely is…
I’m not certain how long a trend has to exist before it earns the status of an immutable political “law,” but three longtime truths are threatened this election cycle. Will all of them fall in November?
Trend #1: One party holds the Pennsylvania governorship for eight years and then loses the…
A disclaimer may seem like a rote few seconds in a campaign ad, but failing to follow the specific guidelines could have costly consequences for a candidate.
On Sept. 16, former Rep. Bobby Schilling, R-Ill., aired a 30-second ad titled, “How Could You?” that accused Democratic Rep. Cheri Bustos…
There is always some uncertainty as an election approaches, and that’s especially the case when dueling polls show very different snapshots of a race.
In Arkansas, for example, two September polls conducted by Hickman Analytics, Inc. for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s…
It’s no secret that Democrats have virtually no chance of taking back the House next month, but there are a handful of districts where victory could make the rest of the night easier to swallow.
Democrats have zeroed in on a quartet of competitive Republican open seats including Iowa’s 3rd…
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