Five Senate seats look increasingly like they will be keys to what kind of election the two parties will have this year.
The GOP looks poised to take over six Democratic seats: Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia. If they do that and hold all of their own, they…
Republicans are going to add to their majority in the House. But even though Election Day is just days away, it’s unclear how many seats the party will add.
President Barack Obama’s mediocre job approval rating has cast a shadow over the entire House landscape and has Democrats on the defensive…
There are few certainties in life: death, taxes, and someone purporting to have exit poll numbers before the polls close on Election Day. But here’s a word to the wise: If you hear or read about exit poll data before 5pm on Election Day, don’t believe them.
Mining for exit poll data is an…
The extraordinary number of very close races is not limited to contests for the House and Senate. The electoral environment is volatile, and a large number of tight and competitive gubernatorial contests leaves open the possibility of a wide range of outcomes.
On one hand, nearly a dozen…
Most neutral observers expect Republicans to take the Senate and make at least small gains in the House, but talk about a possible GOP political wave has all but disappeared.
However, ten days to go until Election Day, I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a “wave” election just yet.
I know…
Barack Obama was elected on a swell of energy and enthusiasm, but he might leave the Democratic Party worse off than when he took office.
The disconnect between the Obama political operation and Democratic strategists focused on Congress is nothing new. Congressional Democrats have always been…
Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen continues to hold a narrow lead over GOP challenger Scott Brown. But Brown has exceeded our expectations, and he has cut Shaheen’s margin to the low single digits – even though the Republican’s unfavorable rating has been higher than his favorable rating.
Brown…
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