Archive
Kansas.
3rd District (Kansas City suburbs) Sharice Davids, D, re-elected 53%. Harris 51%. Davids has earned a reputation as a tough competitor and extracts a grudging respect from Republicans, who don’t see her as a serious target this cycle. Solid Democratic.
Kentucky.
6th District (Greater…
North Carolina.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, re-elected 49.5%. Trump 51%. Laurie Buckhout, the 2024 nominee who lost to Davis by less than 2 points, could run again though GOP strategists are skeptical she will take the plunge. Rocky Mount Mayor Sandy Roberson,…
Alabama Senate. GOP Sen. Tommy Tuberville is telling colleagues that he is interested in running for governor, according to Punchbowl News. That would set off a competitive GOP race to replace him in the Senate. Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth, state Attorney General Steve Marshall, state House Speaker…

Toss-up
AZ 6 (Ciscomani, R)
CA 13 (Gray, D)
CA 45 (Tran, D)
CO 8 (Evans, R)
IA 1 (Miller-Meeks, R)
MI 7 (Barrett, R)
NC 1 (Davis, D)
NY 17 (Lawler, R)
PA 7 (Mackenzie, R)
VA 2 (Kiggans, R)
Tilt Democratic
CA 47 (Min, D)
ME 2 (Golden, D)
MI 8 (McDonald Rivet, D)
NM 2 (Vasquez, D)
NY 4 (Gillen, D)…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Briana Bierschbach of the Minnesota Star-Tribune analyze the fight for the Minnesota Senate seat left behind by retiring Democratic Sen. Tina Smith, talk about whether DFL Gov. Tim Walz will seek a historic third term and look ahead to who might run for Rep.…
Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell’s announcement that he would not seek an eighth term in office was not a surprise. But the decision by the longest serving Senate leader in American history nonetheless caps an era of politics defined by the master tactician, who reshaped the federal judiciary and…
Michigan voters aren’t going to get much of a break. After being in the spotlight with competitive presidential and Senate races in 2024, the Wolverine State is set to host one of the most important Senate races in 2026.
Sen. Gary Peters upended Michigan politics when he made a surprise…
When New York Rep. Elise Stefanik is ultimately confirmed as the next U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, voters in the Empire State’s 21st District will elect a new representative for the first time in a decade.
The special election to replace the rising GOP star may also develop into…
Arizona’s 1st District. Former broadcast journalist Marlene Galan-Woods was spotted at a Capitol Hill restaurant by National Journal’s James Downs, fueling speculation that she might challenge GOP Rep. Dave Schweikert again. She finished a close third in the 2024 Democratic primary. And Schweikert…