Archive

Podcast Episode 39: Surprise Michigan Senate Retirement Reaction w/ Melissa Burke of Detroit News

January 30, 2025 · 12:32 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Melissa Nann Burke of the Detroit News analyze Democratic Sen. Gary Peters’ decision not to run for re-election in the battleground state of Michigan, discuss the candidates who might run, and the impact of the Senate race on the race for governor and key House…

Virginia Governor: Historic No Matter What

by Jacob Rubashkin January 24, 2025 · 2:30 PM EST

Democrats reeling from Donald Trump’s election and the GOP sweep of Congress will have their first chance to bounce back this fall, when voters in Virginia will choose a successor to term-limited GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin.

Old Dominion’s gubernatorial races always attract a national spotlight, both…

The Primary is the Ballgame in Two Florida House Specials

by Jacob Rubashkin January 24, 2025 · 2:29 PM EST

Republicans held onto their narrow majority in 2024, but President Donald Trump’s cabinet selections made the margin in the House even closer.

Matt Gaetz only spent a week as President Donald Trump’s attorney general nominee before withdrawing from consideration, but he still resigned his Florida…

Vote Above Replacement: Trump vs. Harris

by Bradley Wascher January 24, 2025 · 2:28 PM EST

A common refrain in the wake of the 2024 presidential election is that although Donald Trump swept all seven core battleground states, his victory was not a landslide. Those making this argument can point to many numbers, including Trump’s 1.5-point margin in the national popular vote, or the…

Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)

January 24, 2025 · 2:27 PM EST

Alabama Governor. Gov. Kay Ivey is term-limited, setting up a competitive GOP primary to replace her. Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth had said he’d make up his mind in February or March, but now says he’ll wait until the upcoming legislative session ends in May. Agriculture Commissioner Rick Pate said he’d…

Florida and Ohio Appointments Fill Out Senate Battlefield

January 17, 2025 · 3:24 PM EST

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

The 2026 Senate map became a little clearer this week as the Republican governors of Florida and Ohio announced their picks to replace incoming Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President J.D. Vance. 

On Thursday, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis announced…

Podcast Episode 38: Trump Cabinet, 2026 Senate, Media Trust w/ Meg Kinnard of the AP

January 17, 2025 · 9:44 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Meg Kinnard of the Associated Press talk about the political dynamics and implications for President Donald Trump’s cabinet choices, analyze the initial 2026 Senate battleground including the five most important races and handicap how difficult it will be for…

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): GOP Majority and Advantage

January 9, 2025 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans not only gained control of the Senate in 2024, but they may be insulated from a difficult midterm election by the size of their majority and the paucity of competitive races in 2026.

With a target-rich map of Senate races in GOP-leaning states…