Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. McConnell’s decision not to seek re-election sets up a contentious GOP primary that could turn on Trump’s endorsement. Former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron was the first to launch his bid; the former McConnell protege and 2023…
North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%) and 2020 (49%). All eyes are on former Gov. Roy Cooper, who one Democratic source described as “Plans A through Z” for the party. But Cooper is finishing a fellowship at Harvard this spring and doesn’t seem to be in a rush to re-enter the…
Arizona’s 7th District. Sen. Mark Kelly and his wife, former Rep. Gabby Giffords endorsed Adelita Grijalva in the race to replace the late Democratic Rep. Raúl Grijalva, Adelita’s father. Former state Rep. Daniel Hernandez, who helped save Giffords’ life in the 2011 shooting that killed six people,…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News analyze how President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the uncertainty of the economy and stock market affect his relationship with Republicans on Capitol Hill and how it could threaten Republicans’ majority in the House and the Senate…
With 19 months to go before the midterm elections, it’s too early to know what the political environment will be like in November 2026 and too early to project whether Republicans will maintain control of Congress.
But we do know that the political environment has changed since Donald Trump and…
The 2020 Census is long past, but a half dozen or more states are still sorting out the legality of their congressional maps, leaving more than a hundred districts in litigation limbo ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
While Democrats need a net gain of just three seats to recapture the…
What are the sleeper races? That’s one of the most common questions every election cycle, but there isn’t always a clear answer.
Identifying the most competitive races isn’t all that tough. Just look at seats with close races in the past or the districts that featured tens of millions of dollars…
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