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2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 6, 2025): New York - Wyoming

February 6, 2025 · 2:27 PM EST

NEW YORK. Kathy Hochul, assumed office August 2021, elected 2022 (52%). Hochul escaped an upset loss to Rep. Lee Zeldin in 2022 but remains in a difficult political position after 2024, a mixed bag of a year for New York Democrats that saw Trump make significant gains but Democrats also flip three…

Report Shorts (Feb. 6, 2025)

February 6, 2025 · 2:26 PM EST

Arizona’s 6th District. Democratic single-mom/retired Marine JoAnna “Jo” Mendoza announced her challenge to GOP Rep. Juan Ciscomani in a competitive, suburban district  southeast of Phoenix. Ciscomani won re-election by 2.5 points in one of the most competitive races in the country with help from…

Podcast Episode 39: Surprise Michigan Senate Retirement Reaction w/ Melissa Burke of Detroit News

January 30, 2025 · 12:32 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Melissa Nann Burke of the Detroit News analyze Democratic Sen. Gary Peters’ decision not to run for re-election in the battleground state of Michigan, discuss the candidates who might run, and the impact of the Senate race on the race for governor and key House…

Virginia Governor: Historic No Matter What

by Jacob Rubashkin January 24, 2025 · 2:30 PM EST

Democrats reeling from Donald Trump’s election and the GOP sweep of Congress will have their first chance to bounce back this fall, when voters in Virginia will choose a successor to term-limited GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin.

Old Dominion’s gubernatorial races always attract a national spotlight, both…

The Primary is the Ballgame in Two Florida House Specials

by Jacob Rubashkin January 24, 2025 · 2:29 PM EST

Republicans held onto their narrow majority in 2024, but President Donald Trump’s cabinet selections made the margin in the House even closer.

Matt Gaetz only spent a week as President Donald Trump’s attorney general nominee before withdrawing from consideration, but he still resigned his Florida…

Vote Above Replacement: Trump vs. Harris

by Bradley Wascher January 24, 2025 · 2:28 PM EST

A common refrain in the wake of the 2024 presidential election is that although Donald Trump swept all seven core battleground states, his victory was not a landslide. Those making this argument can point to many numbers, including Trump’s 1.5-point margin in the national popular vote, or the…

Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)

January 24, 2025 · 2:27 PM EST

Alabama Governor. Gov. Kay Ivey is term-limited, setting up a competitive GOP primary to replace her. Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth had said he’d make up his mind in February or March, but now says he’ll wait until the upcoming legislative session ends in May. Agriculture Commissioner Rick Pate said he’d…

Florida and Ohio Appointments Fill Out Senate Battlefield

January 17, 2025 · 3:24 PM EST

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

The 2026 Senate map became a little clearer this week as the Republican governors of Florida and Ohio announced their picks to replace incoming Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President J.D. Vance. 

On Thursday, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis announced…