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How Democrats Could Lose the Popular Vote

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 22, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

After winning the most votes in six of the last seven presidential elections and buoyed by demographic changes, Democrats are eager to rid the country of the Electoral College and elect a president with a national popular vote. 

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is the latest Democrat to call…

Arizona 1: Republicans Hope The Third Time Is A Charm

by Leah Askarinam March 22, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

There are now 31 Democrats representing districts Donald Trump carried in 2016, and a Republican gain of 19 seats would ensure a new House majority. But Arizona’s 1st District is a good example of why that task will be more difficult than it looks on paper.

Republicans flipped a few open seats in…

Pennsylvania 12 Special: Not-So Special?

by Leah Askarinam March 22, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina’s House elections may be receiving more attention at the moment, but the next U.S. House special election is in Pennsylvania.

On May 21, the same day as the state’s municipal elections, voters will choose someone to serve in the seat of former Republican Rep. Tom Marino. 

At the…

Can a Senator be Nominated and Win the White House?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 13, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

The abundance of sitting senators running for president seems to confirm the old joke that a senator looking into a mirror sees a future president. But it doesn’t say much about whether the Senate is a good springboard to the White House. Historically, it has not been.

Sitting senators have…

New Mexico 2: Republicans Reminisce of 2010 Comeback

by Leah Askarinam March 8, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

In 2018, for the second time in his life, Republican Steve Pearce left the U.S. House to run for higher office. And for the second time, he lost his bid for higher office while a Democrat won his House open seat. In 2020, Republicans are actually hoping for another repeat: that the new Democratic…

An Early Look at the 2020 Presidential Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 8, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

When handicapping an election, it’s helpful to know where the race is happening and who the nominees are. And that’s problematic when trying to project the 2020 race for president that will happen 20 months from now. 

Based on the last few election cycles, the initial presidential battleground…

North Carolina 3rd & 9th: A Special Mess

by Leah Askarinam March 8, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

North Carolina is set to host two elections this year: The 3rd District special will fill the seat of late Republican Rep. Walter Jones, while the 9th District will hold a new election because of allegations of fraud in the 2018 race.

The State Board of Elections and Gov. Roy Cooper recently set…