Inside Elections

2020 Presidential Ratings (March 8, 2019)

March 8, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Fewer Members Taking the Leap to Governor

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 1, 2019 · 1:17 PM EST

Last cycle, nine members left Congress to try to become governor and five ended up winning the state’s top job. But this cycle will be a different story. While 38 states elected a governor in 2017 or 2018, just 14 states will elect a governor in the next two years. And fewer opportunities to move…

Democrats are Right to be Wary of Howard Schultz

by Stuart Rothenberg February 20, 2019 · 9:05 AM EST

The frenzy over businessman Howard Schultz’s announcement that he is considering an independent run for president is understandable.

Democrats think President Donald Trump is headed for defeat in a one-on-one general election contest, and anything that changes that trajectory improves his…

2020 House Overview: It’s Not Too Early

February 15, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

It’s too early to project the outcome of House elections or the mood of the electorate 21 months from now. But it’s not too early to talk House races as potential candidates explore runs and incumbents decide whether to seek re-election.

At this early…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

February 15, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. 1st District (Bradley Byrne, R, re-elected 63%). Trump 64%. The congressman is likely to challenge Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. A crowded Republican primary is almost inevitable for his open seat. Solid R.

Alaska. At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 53%). Trump 53%. The congressman, who…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Kansas - New York

February 15, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. 1st District (Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%). Trump 69%. The congressman could run for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, creating an open congressional seat. Former Lt. Gov. Tracey Mann could run. He finished third in the 2010 primary with 21 percent. Tim Huelskamp finished…

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): North Carolina - Wisconsin

February 15, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. 2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. House Democrats didn’t make any inroads in North Carolina last cycle, but they didn’t have a star candidate to test their ceiling in Raleigh’s suburbs. The Democratic candidate, former state Rep. Linda Coleman, was…

2020 House Ratings (February 15, 2019)

February 15, 2019 · 2:25 PM EST

More Presidential questions for the Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg February 13, 2019 · 9:12 AM EST

In my last column, I raised three questions Democrats need to answer about the kind of nominee they want in 2020. Do they want an insurgent outsider, do they need someone with experience and must they have a woman and/or African-American on the ticket? In this column, I look at three other…

What do Democrats Want in a President?

by Stuart Rothenberg February 7, 2019 · 11:00 AM EST

Democrats have a hoard of hopefuls aiming for their party’s 2020 nomination, so what qualities and characteristics are Democratic primary voters and caucus attendees likely to value?

Electability is certainly a factor, but what makes a potential nominee electable?

I’ll save the all-important…