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Candidate Conversation - Todd Litton (D)

October 26, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Texas’ 2nd District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: July 26, 2018

Date of Birth: July 21, 1970; Houston, Texas

Education: Duke (1992 B.A.), Univ. of Texas Law School (1995 JD), Rice Business School (2001 MBA)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Some Democrats…

House Midterm Outlook: Look for a Democratic Flip

by Stuart Rothenberg October 25, 2018 · 5:15 PM EDT

Are we still headed for a Democratic wave in the House next month? That all depends on how you define a wave. But one thing is clear: Democrats are still likely to flip the chamber even after all the buzz about a post-Kavanaugh Republican bounce.

A wave occurs when a large number of one party’s…

Stop Calling 2018 ‘The Year Of The Woman’

by Leah Askarinam October 15, 2018 · 11:30 AM EDT

Declaring 2018 anything but the Year of the Woman is heresy by now. It’s consistently, casually mentioned as a matter of fact. This year‘s regarded as a natural succession to 1992, which was the last time an election resulted in the number of women in the House increasing by double digits. But a…

Republican Migraines and the Midterm Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2018 · 8:45 AM EDT

Weather metaphors are often used (and overused) in election analysis, but there’s a better way to describe the Republicans’ challenge in 2018. The GOP is dealing with many headaches as it tries to preserve the Republican congressional majorities.

From tension to cluster to migraine, they can vary…

2018 Election Preview: GOP Bump or Trend?

October 12, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With less than a month before Nov. 6, the fundamentals of these midterm elections are set and broadly good news for Democrats. But with dozens of close races around the country, a shift of just a couple points across the board is the difference between a…

Senate Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

October 12, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema enjoyed a narrow but consistent advantage over GOP Rep. Martha McSally in polls before and after the late August primary. But some more recent public and private data show that edge might be gone. Sinema had an…

House Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

October 12, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has high negatives from previous runs for office and a competitive primary, but it’s still rough going for Republican Lea Marquez Peterson to win this open seat that Hillary Clinton…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

October 12, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Arizona. Doug Ducey (R), elected 2014 (53%). The governor and his GOP allies are enjoying a tremendous spending advantage on television in the final weeks of the campaign — $13 million to $500,000. It’s tough to see how Democrat David Garcia is going to overcome that dynamic in a state President…