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2022 House Ratings (February 11, 2022)

February 11, 2022 · 12:41 PM EST

Virginia Redistricting: Old Dominion’s New Districts

by Bradley Wascher February 8, 2022 · 10:00 AM EST

It might have required resorting to Plan B, but Virginia has a new congressional map.

The state’s bipartisan redistricting commission, which was approved by voters in 2020, failed to agree on new district lines in October, handing over control of the mapmaking process to the state Supreme Court.…

Pennsylvania Senate: Democratic Decisions

by Jacob Rubashkin February 4, 2022 · 2:30 PM EST

With the Senate evenly divided, flipping just one GOP-held state could mean the difference between Democrats maintaining and losing the party’s hard-won majority. And from the beginning, Pennsylvania’s open seat has been their best takeover opportunity and a chance to stave off potential losses…

Georgia Redistricting: New Lines on Their Minds

by Jacob Rubashkin February 4, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

Georgia Republicans are on their heels. After nearly two decades of dominating statewide politics, the GOP came within two points of losing the governorship for the first time in 16 years, failed to deliver the state’s electoral votes to the Republican candidate for president for the first time…

The Impact of a Supreme Court Vacancy on 2022

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 4, 2022 · 2:28 PM EST

Considering President Joe Biden is on the cusp of making a lifetime appointment to the country’s top court, Associate Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer’s retirement is big news. Yet the upcoming confirmation is most likely to have a muted impact on the 2022 elections. 

When evaluating the…

Report Shorts (February 4, 2022)

by Jacob Rubashkin February 4, 2022 · 2:27 PM EST

Ohio Senate
Wealthy car dealer and entrepreneur Bernie Moreno has suspended his campaign for the GOP nomination. Moreno had spent $2.5 million on TV ads but couldn’t break through in the crowded field to succeed retiring Sen. Rob Portman. Even with Moreno out, there are still five candidates with…

If History’s a Guide, Biden Ain’t Getting Any Stronger

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 2, 2022 · 11:52 AM EST

President Joe Biden’s weak political standing looks like cement around the feet of the Democratic majorities in Congress. And even though the 2022 midterm elections are still more than 9 months away, history tells us Biden’s job rating isn’t likely to improve and more likely will deteriorate before…

Michigan 3: Scholten Back for a Rematch

by Jacob Rubashkin February 1, 2022 · 6:10 AM EST

Hillary Scholten, the Democratic nominee for Michigan’s 3rd District in 2020, is running for the Grand Rapids-area seat again, setting up a potential rematch with freshman GOP Rep. Peter Meijer.

But unlike in 2020, when Meijer defeated Scholten by 6 points, 53-47 percent, the 3rd District is now…