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Virginia and New Jersey Governor: A Big Night for Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2021 · 12:35 AM EDT

Even though the Virginia gubernatorial race is just one race in one state (OK, commonwealth), Republican Glenn Youngkin’s victory will reverberate around the country and set the early stage for the 2022 midterm elections.

Considering the next big Election Day is a year away, there will be plenty…

Rating Change: Virginia Governor to Toss-up

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 1, 2021 · 2:00 PM EDT

Under normal conditions, Democrats win in Virginia. But these clearly aren’t normal conditions.

In the final moments of the 2021 race for governor, it’s clear that the race is coming down to the wire and Democrats no longer have a discernible advantage. We’re changing our rating from Tilt…

West Virginia Redistricting: When the Music Stops

by Jacob Rubashkin October 27, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

In April it was written, and in October it was sealed. 2022 will see at least one member-vs.-member House race.

Back in the spring, census data confirmed that West Virginia’s population had shrunk 3 percent since 2010, and that it would lose one of its three congressional districts in the…

California Governor: Education Continues to be Key Vote Indicator

by Ryan Matsumoto October 26, 2021 · 11:01 AM EDT

A month after polls closed, California has finally finished counting all the ballots for the recall election. In the end, it wasn’t close — Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom prevailed 62-38 percent. While polling pointed to a relatively competitive race for a few weeks, Newsom actually matched his…

Virginia Governor: Alarm Bells in the Commonwealth

by Jacob Rubashkin October 22, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

With just more than a week to go until Election Day in Virginia, Democrats are sweating the first big political test of the post-Trump presidency era. 

Former Gov. Terry McAuliffe, a Democrat, has been the favorite to win back his old perch since the beginning of the year. 

He still is, but not…

New Hampshire Senate: The Main Event (Probably)

by Jacob Rubashkin October 22, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

New Hampshire may be small — just 1.3 million people across 9,349 square miles — but its Senate race next year could determine control of Congress and the fate of President Joe Biden’s agenda.

The Granite State hasn’t attracted the same level of coverage as glitzier contests in Georgia, Arizona,…

Candidate Conversation: Tom Toomey (R)

October 22, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

New Jersey’s 11th — Rating: To Be Determined After Redistricting

Interview Date: Oct. 13, 2021 (via Zoom)

Date of Birth: July 6, 1993 (Hackensack, New Jersey)

Education: Iona College (2015)

Elected Office: None. First run for office.

Current Outlook: Toomey is one of several Republicans hoping…