Archive
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Democrats have a better chance of maintaining control of the Senate than the House in 2022, but that doesn’t mean the party should feel too confident about their chances.
With a 50-50 Senate and no easy takeover opportunities, Democrats have no room for…
Alabama. Open; Richard Shelby (R) not seeking re-election. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary, June 21 runoff (if necessary). The GOP field to replace Shelby has evolved over the last few months with Lynda Blanchard, former ambassador to Slovenia in the Trump administration, now running for…
Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. No Democrats or Republicans have filed to run against Schatz. There’s still five months for a challenger to emerge but none that would complicate Schatz’s quest for another term. The…
North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). April 11 filing deadline. June 14 primary. Hoeven had $2.7 million in the bank on Sept. 30. Trump won the state by 33 points in 2020. Solid Republican.
Ohio. Open; Rob Portman (R) not seeking re-election. Feb. 2 filing deadline. May 3…
Oregon’s 5th — Rating: Likely Democratic
Interview Date: December 13, 2021 (via Zoom)
Date of Birth: May 31, 1967; Milwaukee, Wis.
Education: Rensselaer Polytechnic Inst. (1992); Cornell University (Masters, 1995); Univ. of Oregon (J.D., 2016)
Elected Office: 2018 2nd District nominee; 2020…
California House
Rather than running for re-election in the newly-drawn 3rd District and potentially face a formidable GOP assemblyman and competitive general election, GOP Rep. Tom McClintock is choosing to run for re-election in the newly-drawn 5th District, which has more of a GOP lean. It does…
New Mexico has just three congressional districts, but as one of just seven states in which Democrats fully control the mapmaking process it has drawn serious attention from national Democrats eager to press any advantage that helps them defend their five-seat majority in the U.S. House of…
Arizona’s independent redistricting commission unanimously passed a new congressional map that maintains the state’s breakdown of five districts carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 election and four districts carried by President Donald Trump, but also affords Republicans great opportunities to flip…