Archive

Iowa 3: Will a Wave Crash on Nunn?

by Jacob Rubashkin April 9, 2026 · 2:30 PM EDT

Des Moines, Iowa can’t help but find itself at the center of the political universe. The Hawkeye State’s largest city is an important piece in the competitive Senate and gubernatorial races this fall — but its starring role will be in the 3rd Congressional District, where Republican Rep. Zach Nunn…

Virginia Redistricting: Democrats Pushing for Four More Seats

by Jacob Rubashkin April 9, 2026 · 2:29 PM EDT

On April 21, Virginia voters will decide whether to implement a new congressional map that could hand Democrats an additional four seats in the Old Dominion. The referendum is the latest, but not the final, battle in a larger redistricting war set off by the Republican redraw of Texas last summer,…

Report Shorts (April 9, 2026)

April 9, 2026 · 2:28 PM EDT

Florida’s 20th District. The House Ethics Committee found Democratic Rep. Sheila Cherfilus McCormick guilty of 25 of 27 counts of ethics violations. Considering Harris finished ahead of Trump by 40 points in the Fort Lauderdale-area seat, McCormick’s biggest vulnerability is in the August 18…

Podcast Episode 68: Best Campaign Ad Draft w/ Erin Covey and Kirk Bado

April 6, 2026 · 4:17 PM EDT

Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline draft the best and most iconic campaign ads of the 21st century. It’s spring break, so the crew also discusses their ideal vacation destinations, and some good books and articles…

Alaska Senate: Democrats Reach Into The Red

by Jacob Rubashkin March 26, 2026 · 2:30 PM EDT

The first Alaska Native to represent the Last Frontier in Congress could be the final piece for a Democratic Senate majority this fall.

Former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate rather than governor — a race she might have dominated wire to wire — puts this race in contention for…

Ohio Senate: Can Husted Hold On?

by Jacob Rubashkin March 26, 2026 · 2:29 PM EDT

Ohio may have fallen out of the conversation as a presidential bellwether state. But it remains a critical piece of the Senate battleground, and the outcome of its 2026 race could determine majority control next year.

Sen. Jon Husted, appointed by Gov. Mike DeWine following the election of JD…

When Do “Whale” Donors Keep Campaigns Afloat?

by Bradley Wascher March 26, 2026 · 2:28 PM EDT

When Elon Musk dove in to support Kentucky Senate candidate Nate Morris’ campaign in January, he certainly made a splash: $10 million — made out to a pro-Morris super PAC — is more money than most first-time candidates have going for them. 

The cash infusion could be enough to boost Morris into…

Report Shorts (March 26, 2026)

March 26, 2026 · 2:27 PM EDT

Colorado’s 3rd District. Just weeks after rescinding his endorsement of GOP Rep. Jeff Hurd and backing a more conservative primary challenger, President Donald Trump announced that the challenger, Hope Scheppelman, would drop out of the race and join his administration. Trump re-endorsed Hurd, who…