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2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Open-minded about Outcomes

April 17, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Nineteen months before Election Day, it’s healthy to be open-minded about what could happen in next year’s midterm elections. 

Under normal political conditions, Republicans would hold and potentially expand their Senate majority in 2026. Partisanship is…

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Alabama - Kansas

April 17, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Tommy Tuberville (R), elected 2020 (60%). If the former Auburn football coach decides to run for governor rather than seek a second term, there could be a GOP free-for-all to succeed him in the Senate. But nobody is making serious moves until Tuberville tips his hand, and it looks like the…

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Kentucky - New Mexico

April 17, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. McConnell’s decision not to seek re-election sets up a contentious GOP primary that could turn on Trump’s endorsement. Former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron was the first to launch his bid; the former McConnell protege and 2023…

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina - Wyoming

April 17, 2025 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%) and 2020 (49%). All eyes are on former Gov. Roy Cooper, who one Democratic source described as “Plans A through Z” for the party. But Cooper is finishing a fellowship at Harvard this spring and doesn’t seem to be in a rush to re-enter the…

Report Shorts (April 17, 2025)

April 17, 2025 · 2:26 PM EDT

Arizona’s 7th District. Sen. Mark Kelly and his wife, former Rep. Gabby Giffords endorsed Adelita Grijalva in the race to replace the late Democratic Rep. Raúl Grijalva, Adelita’s father. Former state Rep. Daniel Hernandez, who helped save Giffords’ life in the 2011 shooting that killed six people,…

Podcast Episode 44: Trump, Tariffs, Economy, Election w/ Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News

April 11, 2025 · 11:47 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News analyze how President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the uncertainty of the economy and stock market affect his relationship with Republicans on Capitol Hill and how it could threaten Republicans’ majority in the House and the Senate…