Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Steve Kornacki of NBC News take a fresh look at the battle for the House majority with a little more than a year before the midterm elections, analyze the latest numbers in the race for governor in New Jersey this year and talk about how Steve went from covering…
Kansas’ 4th District. Montana’s At-Large district. Georgia’s 6th District. South Carolina’s 5th District. Alabama’s U.S. Senate seat. Pennsylvania’s 18th District. Arizona’s 8th District.
Throughout 2017 and into early 2018, election watchers kept seeing the same movie over and over: Special…
The unprecedented redistricting arms race of 2025 continues apace. After Texas Republicans redrew their state’s congressional map with the goal of flipping from three to five House seats, California Democrats voted to place their own new congressional map before voters this November that would do…
One of the final pieces of the Senate battleground fell into place last month when GOP Sen. Joni Ernst announced she would not seek re-election to a third term in Iowa.
Ernst’s decision was not entirely surprising. The retired Army lieutenant colonel had a difficult 2025, dealing with the backlash…
When Vice President JD Vance traveled to Michigan earlier this month, he chose a welding plant in Michigan’s 7th District as his backdrop. It was a clear indicator of just how important the Lansing-area swing seat is to the fight for the House majority in 2026.
The 7th is currently held by…
Arizona’s 7th District. Democrat Adelita Grijalva won the special general election on Tuesday, 69-30 percent over Republican Daniel Butierez, in the race to replace her late father. Even with some votes still being counted, the result is yet another overperformance for Democrats in special…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…
By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales
Approaching halfway through the cycle, the fight for the House majority remains the marquee event of the midterms. While the Senate usually gets more of the attention, the size of the GOP majority and slate of states on the ballot has made that chamber a…
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