By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Waiting is hard. It’s not something we do well as Americans. But waiting is prudent at this juncture of handicapping the elections and even more essential on November 3 and beyond.
When each day seems to feature five breaking news stories, it’s easy to…
Arizona. Martha McSally (R), appointed Jan. 2019. The senator’s campaign released a state of the race memo which listed grievances with public polling without detailing her own surveys. That’s usually not a great sign. She also received some negative press for suggesting that her supporters skip a…
Alabama.
2nd District (Southeastern Alabama) Open; Martha Roby, R, not seeking re-election. Trump 65%. Republican nominee Barry Moore landed in hot water after he shared a meme defending alleged Kenosha murderer Kyle Rittenhouse on Facebook. After facing backlash, Moore deleted the meme and wrote…
The biggest political realignment in the 2016 presidential election was a shift based on education. President Donald Trump made major gains for a Republican among non-college educated voters, while Hillary Clinton made major gains for a Democrat among college-educated voters.
This trend manifested…
The conventions are over and the polls are trickling in: as of right now, there doesn’t appear to be much of a bounce for either now-official nominee.
In an average of 34 polls released over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 8.1 points (49.8 percent to 41.8 percent).
Compared to…
Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that
But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage -- due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors -- that their path to office is…
