Inside Elections

2021-22 Gubernatorial Ratings (February 19, 2021)

February 19, 2021 · 2:25 PM EST

Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Governor Elections

by Bradley Wascher February 16, 2021 · 9:35 AM EST

Last November, just 11 states elected a governor. And perhaps unsurprisingly given the slate of states, almost every race was uncompetitive, with all but one (North Carolina) decided by at least ten points. Despite such wide margins, though, it would be incorrect to say that 2020’s gubernatorial…

Recent History Shows Senate Retirements Don’t Tell Us Squat

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2021 · 9:30 AM EST

Sen. Richard Shelby’s decision not to seek re-election in Alabama fueled multiple narratives: Republicans in disarray in the wake of President Donald Trump’s loss; a fatalist mentality that the GOP is destined to remain in the Senate minority. Just a quick browse through recent history, however,…

2022 Senate Ratings (February 10, 2021)

February 10, 2021 · 9:29 AM EST

New Jersey Governor: Can Murphy Break The Curse?

by Jacob Rubashkin February 5, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

Not long ago, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie was riding the wave of a re-election win into a top-tier presidential bid. A few years later, politics on the ground have shifted, and Garden State Republicans are grasping for power, just hoping to stay competitive in this year’s gubernatorial contest.…

Ohio 11 Special: Clash on the Cuyahoga

by Jacob Rubashkin February 5, 2021 · 2:29 PM EST

Just three people have represented the eastern part of Cleveland since the 1960s: trailblazing Reps. Louis Stokes and Stephanie Tubbs Jones, and Rep. Marcia Fudge, who has been nominated by President Joe Biden to serve as secretary of housing and urban development.

Should Fudge be confirmed by the…

Ohio Senate: Open Season

February 5, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

It’s been less than two weeks since GOP Sen. Rob Portman announced he would not seek re-election in Ohio and the broad field of potential candidates has already narrowed to a handful of contenders from each party.

Portman’s decision gives Democrats a glimmer of hope in a state that didn’t look all…

Candidate Conversation - Sarah Godlewski (D)

February 5, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

Wisconsin Senate — Rating: Battleground

Interview Date: Jan. 28, 2021 (Zoom)

Date of Birth: Nov. 9, 1981; Eau Claire, Wisc.

Education: George Mason Univ. (2004); Univ. of Pennsylvania (attended)

Elected Office: State Treasurer (2019-present)

Current Outlook: Godlewski has not formally…

Pulling Back the Curtain on Race Ratings

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 5, 2021 · 2:26 PM EST

Each election cycle, race ratings are an integral part of the discussion about the fight for the House and Senate majorities. But where did they come from and how do they work?

While a few folks such as Kevin Phillips and Alan Baron dabbled with ratings going back to the late 1970s, the first…

Ohio Senate: Portman Decision Complicates Race

January 25, 2021 · 11:57 AM EST

Republican Sen. Rob Portman is not seeking re-election in Ohio, giving Democrats a glimmer of hope in a seat that didn’t look all that competitive at this early stage of the 2022 cycle. 

The senator’s comments about “partisan gridlock” will add to the narrative that Republicans are in disarray in…