Every four years, on January 20th, the president-elect is sworn into office, usually among the country’s political elite sitting shoulder to shoulder and in front of a massive crowd of onlookers composed of Americans from across the nation. Since 1981, presidential inaugurations have taken place on…
The 2020 elections are still more than two months away, but I’ve got one piece of advice for when they’re complete: Listen carefully.
Specifically, listen carefully to the politicians and party strategists, because what happened in the elections matters less than what the politicians think…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
After losing 40 seats and the House majority in 2018, Republicans convinced themselves that things couldn’t get any worse. But with less than three months to go before the elections, President Donald Trump has yet to regain his footing and Republicans are at…
Alaska
At-Large District. Don Young, R, re-elected 53%. Trump 51%. Independent Alyse Galvin fell 7 points short of unseating Young, the longest-tenured current House member, in 2018, but she’s back and hoping that Young’s flippant early response to the coronavirus can give her a boost. The numbers…
Kansas
1st District (Western Kansas) Open; Roger Marshall, R, running for the Senate. Trump 69%. With Marshall opting to run for Senate, the GOP field was wide open in “The Big First,” where securing the Republican nod is tantamount to election. Former Lt. Gov. Tracey Mann finished first in a…
With President Donald Trump underperforming by at least 8-10 points around the country, here is a list of districts that Trump carried in 2016 that he could lose to Joe Biden in the fall. With a strong correlation between presidential and House results, that makes these districts (all…
North Carolina
8th District (Concord and Fayetteville) Richard Hudson, R, re-elected 55%. Trump 54%. Hudson is juggling multiple complicating factors in his bid for a fifth term. The congressman is still introducing himself to 25 percent of the district that he hasn’t represented before since it…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
The Senate battlefield is practically set now that Republicans in Kansas finally chose a nominee. Overall, the outlook remains the same: Democrats are most likely to gain control of the Senate. The most likely outcome is a Democratic net gain of 3-5 seats.…
North Carolina’s 8th District — Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: June 25, 2020 (Zoom)
Date of Birth: Sept. 18, 1954; Florence, S.C.
Education: UNC-Chapel Hill (1976 undergraduate, 1979 law school); Duke Univ. (L.L.M 2014)
Elected Office: State Supreme Court Justice (former); state…
Arkansas’ 2nd District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: June 25, 2020 (Zoom)
Date of Birth: March 20, 1951; Willisville, Ark.
Education: Southern Arkansas Univ. (1973); Ouachita Baptist Univ. (Masters, 1981)
Elected Office: State Senate (2009-present); State House (former)
Current…
