California’s 22nd District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: July 10, 2018
Date of Birth: Jan. 5, 1984; Montclair, Calif.
Education: Cal. State Stanislaus (2006 Bachelor’s, 2009 Master’s); Southwestern Law School (2012)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Janz’s campaign (and the race) seemed pretty sleepy until…
California’s 7th District — Rating: Solid Democratic
Interview Date: June 27, 2019
Date of Birth: Oct. 13, 1971; Concord, Calif.
Education: U.S. Naval Academy (1995)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Last year, it seemed possible that Democratic incumbent Ami Bera could be vulnerable, given that he…
California’s 10th District: Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: July 9, 2018
Date of Birth: Aug. 1, 1986; Woodland, Calif.
Education: Stanford Univ. (2008); Harvard (MBA/MPP 2014)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Given that Hillary Clinton carried this district last cycle, receiving 49 percent in 2016, this…
New Jersey’s 3rd District — Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: July 11, 2018
Date of Birth: July 12, 1982; Boston, Mass.
Education: University of Chicago (2004), Oxford Univ. (Master’s 2005, Doctorate 2010)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Barack Obama carried the 3rd District in 2008 and…
The selection of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court will have less of an impact on November’s midterms than you think. Sure, depending how the confirmation process develops, it’s possible the nomination could affect a handful of races, but the most likely scenario will not change the overall trajectory of…
Sometimes political handicapping can be difficult. Shifting a well-liked Democratic senator in North Dakota, who has won a close and competitive race previously, to Tilts Republican from Toss-Up wasn’t an easy decision. But Republican Seth Grossman is making it easy for political analysts.
The former Atlantic County Freeholder won the…
You can explain away 10-term Rep. Joe Crowley’s loss in the Democratic primary to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by pointing to demographic changes in the district or campaign missteps by the incumbent, but that obscures a larger trend. Similar to the dynamic in the Republican Party, the power of the Democratic establishment…
Pennsylvania’s 8th District - Rating: Change to Lean Democratic
Interview Date: June 12, 2018
Date of Birth: May 15, 1963; Fountain Hill, Penn.
Education: Lehigh (1985 BA, 1986 BS); Columbia (MBA 1988)
Elected Office: None; First run for office.
Current Outlook: Matt Cartwright was first elected in 2012 by running…
Missouri’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: June 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 6, 1989; Springfield, Missouri
Education: Univ. of Missouri (2011, current PHd student)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Any Democratic challenger would struggle in this west-central Missouri district, considering Hillary Clinton…
Virginia’s 5th District - Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: June 20, 2018
Date of Birth: March 17, 1970; Manassas, Va.
Education: Univ. of Virginia (1998)
Elected Office: None; Ran for governor in 2017
Current Outlook: Democrat Leslie Cockburn was set to face GOP Rep. Tom Garrett in November, but the…
