When I saw Ohio Democrat Aftab Pureval playing softball in a campaign ad, I felt like my years of election analysis and beer-league softball were finally coming together.
Pureval, the Hamilton County clerk of courts, is challenging Republican Rep. Steve Chabot in Ohio’s 1st District. He’s running a competitive…
Whenever a member of Congress is indicted, it’s a good idea to take a long, hard look at their re-election chances. It’s also reasonable to believe their prospects for another term would be diminished and political handicappers would immediately downgrade their race. But it’s not so simple with GOP Rep.…
This cycle, the wave analogy has been watered down and it’s time for a new metaphor: fire. More specifically, fires.
Whether it’s GOP Members in Hillary Clinton districts, extraordinary Democratic challengers and fundraising, competitive open seats, or lazy incumbents, Republicans have dozens of fires around the country, and the party…
Alaska. Aug. 21 primary.
At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 2016 with 50%). Trump 53%. Education reform activist Alyse Galvin is running for the Democratic nomination and might even be the frontrunner. In 2016, the Democratic nominee and an independent candidate combined for 39 percent. Young was first elected to Congress…
Kansas.
2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Trump 56%. Defense contractor Steve Watkins (who is also an Afghanistan war veteran and and former Iditarod dog sled racer) won the crowded Aug. 7 primary. The Topeka and Lawrence-based district voted for Trump but former state House Minority Leader
North Carolina.
2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman was perceived as the weaker candidate in the Democratic primary because her opponent was personally wealthy. But CLF recently announced a field office in the district, which is a sign that…
After 30 years of covering Congress, David Hawkings has a good idea of how Capitol Hill works — or more important, how it doesn’t — and he laid out five key reasons why Congress is broken.
But whether it’s money, maps, media, mingling or masochism, there are no easy…
Gun control has been a third rail of Democratic campaigns, but a new poll suggests that Democratic candidates should embrace a bolder approach to restrictions on guns, even in general elections.
Up to this point, Democrats have been decidedly defensive on guns. The most famous instances of Democratic candidates using…
If Rep. Chris Collins continues to run for re-election, he would do so while facing charges of insider trading and lying to the F.B.I. But just because a member of Congress is indicted, doesn’t mean they can’t win.
GOP Rep. Michael Grimm of New York and Democratic Rep. William J.…
Here we go again.
Republicans are at significant risk of losing a special election in a seat President Donald Trump carried handily in 2016. Republicans began with an initial lead that has steadily closed as Election Day approaches. Rinse and repeat.
The most recent public polls in Ohio’s 12th District…
