House News & Analysis

Illinois House: Filing Deadline Passes, Along with Two Democratic Takeover Opportunities

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 4, 2015 · 2:28 PM EST

It’s not even 2016 yet, but the filing deadline for candidates in Illinois came and went on Tuesday. Democrats failed to recruit top-tier candidates in two competitive districts, which means the map Democrats drew after the last census will fall short of its desired intent once again. 

In the last…

Florida House: New Lines Change Outlook in 5 Races

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 4, 2015 · 2:27 PM EST

After years of court battles, the Florida Supreme Court finally decided on a new congressional map that changes the dynamic in a handful of districts. 

The results must be bittersweet for Democrats, who have been crying for “fair districts” for quite sometime and could net as many as three…

Report Shorts (December 4, 2015) California Senate, Florida Senate, Maryland Senate

December 4, 2015 · 2:26 PM EST

California Senate. A recent story in The Hill highlighted some grumbling about state Attorney General Kamala Harris’ campaign. Harris is viewed as the clear frontrunner to replace retiring Sen. Barbara Boxer, but some observers believe her burn rate is too high (she’s spending too much of the money she…

Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 30, 2015 · 9:23 AM EST

Political reporters have a fever and the only prescription appears to be fundraising numbers.

It’s a time-honored tradition: Every month, the House and Senate campaign committees release fundraising totals in a regular effort to claim momentum and financial supremacy, and political reporters can’t resist the temptation to report them.

Imperfect Candidates Get Elected

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2015 · 2:11 PM EST

Every day there’s a new story exposing a candidate or a politician, and each misstep is portrayed as a disqualifier — a mistake that will lead to the candidate’s demise. It can be easy to forget that imperfect people get elected to office.

A few weeks ago, the Democratic…

Report Shorts (November 20, 2015) Arizona 1, Arkansas, Kentucky Senate, New York 22

November 20, 2015 · 2:28 PM EST

Arizona’s 1st District. Democratic state Sen. Barbara McGuire decided not to run, but party insiders weren’t pushing her anyway. Former 2nd District Rep. Ron Barber endorsed former GOP state Sen. Tom O’Halleran in yet another sign of who Democrats prefer to be their nominee to try to keep Ann Kirkpatrick’s…

House Retirement Rush Still Short of Average

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 17, 2015 · 9:27 AM EST

In spite of the recent rush of retirement announcements, this Congress is still below the historical average of exits each cycle, which means more House retirements are likely to come.

Wyoming Republican Cynthia Lummis, California Democrat Sam Farr and Texas Democrat Rubén Hinojosa capped off the week by announcing they…

Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 30, 2015 · 9:01 AM EDT

Blame the earmark ban or Republican leaders. Blame Ted Cruz or even Justin Bieber. But don’t blame gerrymandering for the fighting in the House.

As Republicans labor through replacing Speaker John A. Boehner, bemoaning redistricting has become a common refrain in explaining the GOP civil war.

“The very strategy…

Pelosi Sees a Wave; Strategists Say it’s Just a Ripple Now

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 26, 2015 · 2:22 PM EDT

House Democrats don’t need to find themselves a cheerleader. They already have Nancy Pelosi.

“I think the Democrats could have the gavel in 18 months,” she told Texas Tribune reporter/Roll Call alum Abby Livingston recently. “Here’s the thing: I’m always optimistic. You have to be.”

“Even some pollsters…

John Boehner Shouldn’t Pack His Bags Just Yet

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 20, 2015 · 9:26 AM EDT

Speaker John Boehner plans to leave Congress at the end of October, but Republican infighting threatens to keep him around longer, particularly if Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan declines a run to replace him.

According to a source with knowledge of his remarks, Boehner told the House Republican conference on…