House News & Analysis

Report Shorts (January 8, 2016) Alabama, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania

January 8, 2016 · 3:26 PM EST

Alabama Primary Elections. At the end of September, GOP Rep. Martha Roby had $734,000 in campaign funds while her opponent was over $2,000 in debt. But allies of the congresswoman and fellow Rep. Bradley Byrne are watching their March 1 primaries closely. 

On paper, Roby’s 2nd District race against tea…

Predicting the Future and Other Delusions

by Stuart Rothenberg January 8, 2016 · 9:34 AM EST

Barry Ritholtz, a financial planner and asset manager, writes a regular column in The Washington Post’s business section. I read him religiously, and his last column of 2015, on financial prognosticators, offered important observations for anyone interested in politics, sports or Wall Street.

I include all three subjects…

Steve Israel Retirement Sets Up GOP Takeover Opportunity

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 6, 2016 · 9:28 AM EST

Former Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel spent years defending competitive seats open seats, but now his retirement leaves one behind.

Israel announced on Tuesday that he would not seek re-election in November after 16 years in the House. His retirement wasn’t a complete surprise, considering there…

Virginia 5: Hurt to Retire, Leaves Potentially Competitive Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 23, 2015 · 4:02 PM EST

Three-term GOP Rep. Robert Hurt announced his retirement, leaving behind a potentially competitive open seat in Virginia. 

The 5th District includes Charlottesville but runs south to the border with North Carolina. 

On one hand, the district is competitive. Democrat Tom Perriello defeated GOP Rep. Virgil Goode by 727…

New York 22: Hanna Retirement Puts Seat At Risk for Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 21, 2015 · 4:50 PM EST

Moderate Republican Rep. Richard Hanna of New York plans to announce his retirement, leaving a competitive open seat for Republicans to defend.

The news, which was first reported early Sunday morning by The Post-Standard in Syracuse, shouldn’t come as a complete surprise.…

Why House Races Still Matter (Even in Safe Districts)

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 21, 2015 · 8:30 AM EST

The media is laser focused on Donald Trump and the presidential race and any scraps of attention are given to the fight for the Senate majority, while House races are deemed irrelevant.

But even though the majority is not in imminent danger, there are at least three reasons to…

Pennsylvania House: Democrats Searching for Key Contenders

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 18, 2015 · 2:59 PM EST

If House Democrats can’t take back some ground in Pennsylvania, it’s not clear where they are going to win enough seats to get back to the majority.

After the 2008 elections, Democrats held 12 of the Keystone State’s 19 congressional seats, as part of their 39-seat majority. Nationally, Democrats held…

Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year

by Stuart Rothenberg December 17, 2015 · 11:52 AM EST

When you write dozens of columns each year, as I have been doing for a long time (some people think far too long), you look back at some of them with embarrassment.

Sure, there are plenty of columns of which I remain proud and that look thoughtful, even prescient…

GOP’s Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates

by Stuart Rothenberg December 15, 2015 · 10:03 AM EST

“Political brands are important,” I wrote more than a year and a half ago in a lede that was much less interesting than the entire column. Now, though, I am wondering whether political party brands are so different from soap brands or over-the-counter medicine brands, which loyal consumers…

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards

by Stuart Rothenberg December 9, 2015 · 11:11 AM EST

It has been almost 20 years since I started writing a best/worst end of the year column. Since I’m committed to doing them until I finally get one right, here goes this year’s attempt.

Weirdest Political Development of 2015

The nominees: