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Tennessee Redistricting: Down a Democratic District on Music Row

by Bradley Wascher May 23, 2022 · 10:46 AM EDT

Tennessee saw relatively few changes to its congressional map following the most recent round of redistricting, but new lines in the Nashville area almost ensure there will be a change in the partisan composition of its House delegation.

The Volunteer State keeps its nine congressional seats, and…

2022 House Overview (May 20, 2022): Republicans Poised for Majority

May 20, 2022 · 2:45 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

With less than six months before Election Day, Republicans remain well-positioned to win the House majority.

Midterm elections are typically a performance review on the sitting president and President Joe Biden’s job rating is negative and static.…

2022 House Overivew (May 20, 2022): Alabama - Iowa

May 20, 2022 · 2:44 PM EDT

Alabama. Current breakdown: 6R, 1D. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). 
5th District (Open; Mo Brooks, R, running for Senate). Trump 63%. The fundraising leaders in the race to replace Brooks are Madison County Commissioner Dale Strong ($1.1 million raised through May 4) and former…

2022 House Overivew (May 20, 2022): Kansas - New York

May 20, 2022 · 2:43 PM EDT

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. 
3rd District (Sharice Davids, D). Biden 51%. The Kansas Supreme Court reinstated the GOP-controlled legislature’s map after a lower court had rejected it as a partisan and racial gerrymander. That means Davids will go from…

2022 House Overivew (May 20, 2022): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 20, 2022 · 2:42 PM EDT

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat).
1st District (Open; G.K. Butterfield, D, not seeking re-election). Biden 53%. Democrats caught a break when Republicans nominated a flawed candidate, Sandy Smith, to be their standard bearer for the second cycle in a row. Smith has…

Florida Redistricting: Tallying the Hassle in Tallahassee

by Bradley Wascher May 17, 2022 · 10:30 AM EDT

Control of the House majority could very well hinge on somewhere like Florida, given its status as one of the most populated and electorally consequential states. And it was one of the last states to finalize a new congressional map this redistricting cycle. But now that we know what its new…

Iowa Senate: Franken Poll Finds Tied Race

by Jacob Rubashkin May 16, 2022 · 3:33 PM EDT

A new poll of the Democratic primary for Iowa’s U.S. Senate seat suggests that the contest between former Rep. Abby Finkenauer and retired Admiral/2020 Senate primary runner-up Michael Franken has closed to an even race.

The survey, conducted by Change Research for the Franken campaign and fielded…

What Happened in West Virginia and Nebraska Primaries

by Jacob Rubashkin May 12, 2022 · 10:11 AM EDT

Tuesday saw voters in West Virginia and Nebraska head to the polls to pick nominees for this fall’s midterm elections. It was also the latest battery of tests of the strength of Donald Trump’s endorsement, and one that produced mixed results for the former president. But none of the results of the…

Colorado Senate: Centennial Showdown

by Jacob Rubashkin May 6, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

If you’re looking for a place to measure the size of a GOP wave or a state where a Supreme Court decision on abortion could make an impact, look at Colorado. 

The agreed-upon Senate battlefield consists of seven or eight states, half held by Democrats and half held by Republicans.

But President…