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2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2022): North Dakota - Wisconsin

July 1, 2022 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). Hoeven will face Democratic-NPL nominee Katrina Christiansen, an engineering professor at University of Jamestown, in the fall. The senator had $3.3 million in the bank on May 25 compared to Christiansen’s $18,000. Democrats won’t be…

House & Governor Report Shorts (July 1, 2022)

July 1, 2022 · 2:26 PM EDT

California
22nd District.
Now that all but the last couple hundred ballots have finally been counted, GOP Rep. David Valadao can breathe a brief sigh of relief. The incumbent will outpace fellow Republican and former Fresno City councilor Chris Mathys by just 1,226 votes, after Democrats started…

The Congresswoman and the Taxpayer-funded TV Ads

by Jacob Rubashkin June 30, 2022 · 1:19 PM EDT

“I’m Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Democrat for Congress, and I approve this message.”

In 2021, it was a difficult refrain to escape in South Florida; Cherfilus-McCormick’s advertisements, each ending in that disclosure, aired hundreds of times on TV.

But three commercials that aired earlier this…

Colorado Senate: Bennet More Vulnerable After Primary

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 29, 2022 · 12:39 PM EDT

Many have tried to become the next Claire McCaskill. Most have failed.

The former Democratic senator from Missouri is credited with strategic advertising that convinced Republicans to nominate a flawed opponent in 2012. Candidates and party strategists on both sides of the aisle have tried to…

An Early Look at (Too) Early Data on SCOTUS Abortion Ruling

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 27, 2022 · 7:12 PM EDT

The Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade is a historic event, but it will take at least a few weeks, if not longer, to know whether it is an election-changing event. 

Arguably the worst time to measure the political impact of an event is while it is still going on. The second…

Iowa 3: Axne on the Front Lines

by Jacob Rubashkin June 17, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

What a difference a few years makes.

In 2018, Democrats barnstormed Iowa, flipping two congressional districts, holding another, and nearly winning the deeply Republican 4th District and the governor’s mansion for the first time in over a decade.

But in 2020, Republicans stormed right back,…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2022)

June 17, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama
Senate. Rep. Mo Brooks was left for politically dead after former President Donald Trump rescinded his endorsement. But he still managed to revive his campaign enough for a second-place finish, with 29 percent to Katie Boyd Britt’s 45 percent. Veteran Mike Durant’s once-high-flying effort…