Archive

Can Jeb Bush Win the GOP Nomination?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 7, 2015 · 12:42 PM EST

I was surprised at the steps that former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has taken toward entering the GOP presidential race.

I expected family considerations and his aversion to a nasty and prolonged race for the nomination to keep him out of the contest. Certainly, he’d like to be president, and there are…

Republican to Retire from Competitive House Seat in New York

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 5, 2015 · 10:31 PM EST

GOP Rep. Chris Gibson of New York is set to announce his retirement on Tuesday, according to two Republican sources. 

Gibson won re-election in November in convincing fashion with a 65 percent to 35 percent victory over self-funding Democrat Sean Eldridge. But the open seat should be extremely…

Very Early Handicapping on Special Election in New York’s 11th District

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 2, 2015 · 3:08 PM EST

For political operatives, reporters and junkies there isn’t a more appropriate way to kick off a new year and new election cycle than a special election in New York.

Special elections in the Empire State have became a nearly-annual affair. And thanks to GOP Rep. Michael G. Grimm’s resignation, New…

Beltway View Clashes with District Dynamic in Illinois’ 12th

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2014 · 4:00 PM EST

Inside the Beltway, Mike Bost was the unhinged Republican known for his rant on the floor of the Illinois Legislature and for shooting a caged beagle. So how did he defeat a Democratic incumbent by more than 10 points?

What looked like an angry liability to many Washington, D.C. observers was…

Loss Puts Terry in Exclusive Club

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2014 · 3:59 PM EST

It takes quite a feat for a Republican congressman to lose re-election in the middle of a historically-good election for the GOP. But that’s exactly what Nebraska Rep. Lee Terry and Florida Rep. Steve Southerland pulled off in 2014. 

Nearly 99 percent of all GOP incumbents seeking re-election in…

What Kind of Race Would Russ Feingold Run in 2016?

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2014 · 9:27 AM EST

Former Sen. Russ Feingold, D-Wis., isn’t ruling out trying to get his former seat back this cycle. But it’s unclear how good of a campaign he will run.

Wisconsin Democratic Rep. Gwen Moore told Roll Call’s Alexis Levinson last week she expects Feingold to wage a rematch against GOP Sen. Ron…

Jury Duty in Today’s America

by Stuart Rothenberg December 18, 2014 · 10:47 AM EST

While most of America was still talking about what happened in Ferguson, Mo., and turning to law enforcement issues in Cleveland and Staten Island, New York, I spent the better part of the week of Dec. 1 in a courthouse in Rockville, Md.

I never expected to be selected to sit on a jury, let alone…

Democrats Abandoned Mary Landrieu in the Runoff. Does it Matter?

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 11, 2014 · 1:36 PM EST

Party campaign committees are incumbent led and incumbent driven, so how important is it for the committees to support incumbents to the bitter end?

Democratic Sen. Mary L. Landrieu lost re-election in Louisiana, 56 percent to 44 percent, to Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy. But in the days running up…

Mary Landrieu’s Loss and the End of Ticket Splitting

by Stuart Rothenberg December 10, 2014 · 9:41 AM EST

Louisiana Sen. Mary L. Landrieu’s defeat in the Dec. 6 runoff certainly was no surprise. If anything, it seemed inevitable since the evening of Nov. 4, when it became clear a Republican rout was underway and Democrats would lose control of the Senate.

But the veteran Democrat’s defeat is another…

Draft Ben Carson Group Complicates Potential Presidential Campaign

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 5, 2014 · 9:47 AM EST

Ben Carson is openly considering a run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016, but an unaffiliated Super PAC trying to draft him into the race is making the effort complicated.

Last month, Buzzfeed detailed the fundraising and spending habits of the National Draft Ben Carson for…