Archive

Not Your Father’s (or Grandfather’s) GOP Field

by Stuart Rothenberg February 4, 2015 · 9:54 AM EST

None of the top-tier GOP contenders for the party’s presidential nomination have formally entered the race yet, but it’s already clear the field will be unique in the party’s modern campaign history.

Most Republican fields since 1952 have begun with between two and five serious contenders for the…

Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 2, 2015 · 10:59 AM EST

Republicans and Democrats can’t agree on much of anything these days, but strategists on both sides of the aisle love to talk about Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst’s victory.

Two years ago, Ernst was a little-known GOP state senator from Southwest Iowa. She entered the national spotlight with a memorable…

First Look: Can Democrats Win the Senate in 2016?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2015 · 9:30 AM EST

For Republicans, the fight for control of the Senate in 2016 is all about playing defense.

Unlike 2014 (and 2018), the Senate races of 2016 offer few, if any, opportunities for the GOP as the election cycle begins. The map strongly favors Democrats and suggests the possibility of considerable…

Democrats Looking Beyond New York 11 Special Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 28, 2015 · 10:51 AM EST

The date hasn’t even been set, but Republicans have all but won the special election in New York’s 11th District.

The Staten Island-based district has swung from being a top Democratic target in the midterms all the way across the competitive spectrum to Democrats punting the opportunity to win…

2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview: Washington Gridlock Puts Governors in the Spotlight

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 23, 2015 · 1:35 PM EST

Congressional job approval is abysmal and faith in Washington’s ability to enact significant legislation isn’t much better. That’s why some party strategists are emphasizing the importance of governors and their ability to enact meaningful policies at the state level.

Gubernatorial races were not…

2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview (January 23, 2015) Delaware - West Virginia

January 23, 2015 · 1:34 PM EST

DELAWARE - Open; Jack Markell (D) term-limited. The race to replace Markell will get some attention, but not because Republicans have a chance of winning. Former state Attorney General Beau Biden (D), son of Vice President Joe Biden, is widely expected to run and become the next governor of The…

Pennsylvania 8: Democrats Looking Forward to Open Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 23, 2015 · 1:32 PM EST

Politicians get criticized for violating vows of term limits, but GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick is sticking to his pledge, even if it costs his party a seat. 

Not long ago, Democrat Patrick Murphy held Pennsylvania’s 8th District, but that was before Republicans redrew the district to be more…

Report Shorts (January 23, 2015) California Senate, Iowa Senate, Pennsylvania Senate

January 23, 2015 · 1:31 PM EST

California Senate. Since our last issue, state Attorney General Kamala Harris (D) announced her candidacy in the race to replace retiring-Sen. Barbara Boxer (D). Harris won’t necessarily clear the field, but she is a top contender for the seat. On Thursday wealthy environmental activist Tom Steyer…

Why Hillary Clinton Should Fear Elizabeth Warren

by Stuart Rothenberg January 22, 2015 · 12:04 PM EST

If Hillary Rodham Clinton does not run for president in 2016, I’d certainly put my money on Sen. Elizabeth Warren for the Democratic nomination. And I think Warren might be able to give Clinton a run for her money if the freshman senator would challenge the former secretary of State.

No point in…