Archive

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 23, 2019 · 10:49 AM EDT

California’s 48th District: The Orange County Republican Party endorsed County Supervisor Michelle Steel on Monday in the race against freshman Democratic Rep. Harley Rouda, which could give pause to potential candidates such as former state Sen. Janet Nguyen.

Colorado Senate: Former District…

What Can We Learn From the North Carolina Redo Election?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 20, 2019 · 2:03 PM EDT

By now, most journalists, handicappers, and party operatives are trained to restrain themselves when applying special election results to future general election forecasts.

But the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District provides a unique opportunity to learn about the present political…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Parties Prepare for Battle

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 17, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

In the shadow of the presidential race, Republicans and Democrats are preparing for another battle: the fight for the House. It’s not going to get as much attention over the next 18 months, but control of the House is every bit as important as the race for the White House when it comes to the…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

May 17, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. 

1st District (Open; Bradley Byrne, R, running for Senate). Trump 64%. The congressman is challenging Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. A crowded Republican primary, including Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl, former state Sen. Bill Hightower, state Rep. Chris Pringle, businessman Wes…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Kansas - New York

May 17, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. 

1st District (Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%). Trump 69%. The congressman is angling for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, and could create an open House seat. The most important race would be the primary. Businessman and farmer Gary Harshberger of Dodge City is a potentially…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 17, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. Some Democrats are hoping Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Scott Cooper puts them over the edge in the Raleigh suburbs, but Sarah Crawford, who lost an expensive 2014 state Senate race against a GOP incumbent, could run too.…

Biden, Unions and the Politics of 2020

by Stuart Rothenberg May 16, 2019 · 2:32 PM EDT

Shortly after former Vice President Joe Biden announced his candidacy for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, he received his first union endorsement. “I couldn’t be more proud to have the International Association of Fire Fighters on my team,” Biden tweeted in response. “Unions built the…

Stop Grading 2020 Candidate Recruitment, Particularly This Far From Election Day

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 10, 2019 · 11:32 AM EDT

Gloating about and reporting on candidate recruitment has become commonplace in the election process. But too often, the grading and grandstanding is premature — and even completely wrong.

This cycle, Republicans are crowing after former Georgia House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams declined to run…