In 2018, for the second time in his life, Republican Steve Pearce left the U.S. House to run for higher office. And for the second time, he lost his bid for higher office while a Democrat won his House open seat. In 2020, Republicans are actually hoping for another repeat: that the new Democratic…
When handicapping an election, it’s helpful to know where the race is happening and who the nominees are. And that’s problematic when trying to project the 2020 race for president that will happen 20 months from now.
Based on the last few election cycles, the initial presidential battleground…
North Carolina is set to host two elections this year: The 3rd District special will fill the seat of late Republican Rep. Walter Jones, while the 9th District will hold a new election because of allegations of fraud in the 2018 race.
The State Board of Elections and Gov. Roy Cooper recently set…
Last cycle, nine members left Congress to try to become governor and five ended up winning the state’s top job. But this cycle will be a different story. While 38 states elected a governor in 2017 or 2018, just 14 states will elect a governor in the next two years. And fewer opportunities to move…
The frenzy over businessman Howard Schultz’s announcement that he is considering an independent run for president is understandable.
Democrats think President Donald Trump is headed for defeat in a one-on-one general election contest, and anything that changes that trajectory improves his…
by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
It’s too early to project the outcome of House elections or the mood of the electorate 21 months from now. But it’s not too early to talk House races as potential candidates explore runs and incumbents decide whether to seek re-election.
At this early…
Alabama. 1st District (Bradley Byrne, R, re-elected 63%). Trump 64%. The congressman is likely to challenge Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. A crowded Republican primary is almost inevitable for his open seat. Solid R.
Alaska. At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 53%). Trump 53%. The congressman, who…
Kansas. 1st District (Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%). Trump 69%. The congressman could run for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, creating an open congressional seat. Former Lt. Gov. Tracey Mann could run. He finished third in the 2010 primary with 21 percent. Tim Huelskamp finished…
North Carolina. 2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. House Democrats didn’t make any inroads in North Carolina last cycle, but they didn’t have a star candidate to test their ceiling in Raleigh’s suburbs. The Democratic candidate, former state Rep. Linda Coleman, was…
