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2020 House Ratings (September 4, 2019)

September 4, 2019 · 3:29 PM EDT

Trump Vulnerability in a Primary is More Fiction than Fact

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2019 · 9:05 AM EDT

Former South Carolina Rep. Mark Sanford is seriously considering challenging President Donald Trump in the primary, even though he called the idea “preposterous” on many levels. It’s a rare moment when you should take a politician at his word.

Even if you look past the huge hurdles of the…

North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election

by Steve Passwaiter September 3, 2019 · 11:30 AM EDT

There’s one week to go before the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District on Sept. 10., and all indications show that Republicans and Democrats know that this is a close race. Polling remains very tight and within the margin of error.  

These off-year special elections always receive…

North Carolina 9: McCready Has Narrow Lead in New Bipartisan Poll

August 30, 2019 · 2:31 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Democrat Dan McCready has a narrow advantage over Republican Dan Bishop heading into the final days of the Sept. 10 redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District, according to a new bipartisan poll for Inside Elections. 

The survey, conducted Aug. 26-28…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Republicans Facing a Rough Road in the House

August 30, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With Democrats marching to the left in the presidential primary, and new, progressive faces in Congress rising to prominence, some Republicans are confident in their relative standing. But they’ve got a difficult path to the House majority in 2020.

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

August 30, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. 

1st District (Greater Mobile) Open; Bradley Byrne, R, running for Senate. Trump 64%. A crowded Republican primary, including Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl, former state Sen. Bill Hightower, state Rep. Chris Pringle, businessman Wes Lambert, and potentially others, is inevitable…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Kansas - New York

August 30, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. 

1st District (Western Kansas) Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%. Trump 69%. The congressman is angling for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, and could create an open House seat. The most important race would be the primary. Businessman and farmer Gary Harshberger of Dodge City is…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

August 30, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 

2nd District (Raleigh exurbs) George Holding, R, re-elected 51%. Trump 53%. Some Democrats are hoping Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Scott Cooper ($178,000 on hand on June 30) puts them over the top in the Raleigh suburbs. But Monika Johnson-Hostler just entered the Democratic race…

Isakson’s Decision Adds Competitive Seat to 2020 Senate Battleground

August 28, 2019 · 11:27 AM EDT

Georgia Republican Johnny Isakson’s resignation adds another seat to the 2020 Senate battleground and gives Democrats another takeover opportunity in their road to the majority. 

According to state law, GOP Gov. Brian Kemp will appoint a senator, who will then stand for election in Nov. 2020 to…