Virginia House: Four House Races Shift Toward Democrats
On Tuesday night, Virginia voters approved a new congressional map that will help Democrats flip as many as four GOP-held seats this fall.
Republican Reps. Rob Wittman, Jen Kiggans, John McGuire and Ben Cline saw their districts made significantly more favorable to Democrats or dismantled entirely. While several Republican challenges are still active in front of the Virginia state Supreme Court, it looks increasingly unlikely that the court will block implementation of the map, at least for this year.
As a result, Inside Elections is making four ratings shifts in the Old Dominion.
Virginia’s 1st District (Rob Wittman, R) shifts from Lean Republican to Solid Democratic
Virginia’s 2nd District (Jen Kiggans, R) shifts from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
Virginia’s 5th District (John McGuire, R) shifts from Solid Republican to Solid Democratic
Virginia’s 6th District (Ben Cline, R) shifts from Solid Republican to Lean Democratic
Democrats need a net gain of three seats to win back the House majority this fall. After these ratings changes, Democrats are favored in 216 districts, Republicans are favored in 210 districts, and 9 districts are rated as toss-ups. The magic number for a majority is 218.
A full write-up of the changes to the Virginia map can be found in the April 16 issue of Inside Elections.
VA1 Wittman, R — Solid Democratic (from Lean Republican)
VA2 Kiggans, R — Tilt Democratic (from Toss-up)
VA3 Scott, D — Solid Democratic
VA4 McClellan, D —…
