Senate News & Analysis
If Democrats want to have any shot at winning a Senate majority in 2018, Sen. Claire McCaskill likely needs to win re-election—a tall task, given that Missouri voted for President Donald Trump by nearly 20 points.
McCaskill is one of 10 Democratic senators running for re-election in states that Trump…
With 10 days to go before the Dec. 12 Alabama Senate special election, anyone who tells you they are certain who will win either is lying to you or just misinformed.
Limited public polling shows Republican Roy Moore with a narrow advantage over Democrat Doug Jones in spite of multiple…
Rep. Kyrsten Sinema is “probably the most confident, strongest Democrat to run for the U.S. Senate since I moved to Arizona in 1998,” trumpeted an Arizona State political science professor. Across the country, the party is “notably underwhelmed” by the three Democrats running against Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker. Republicans…
Roy Moore is testing a once-hypothetical question: What would it take for a Democrat to win a statewide race in Alabama?
Under normal circumstances, Alabama would elect a Republican to Senate, even a candidate as polarizing as Moore. But the situation changed when The Washington Post reported allegations of…
Danica Roem and Bob Marshall are facing off in an unusually high-profile race for the Virginia House of Delegates — Roem, a transgender Democrat, is challenging Marshall, a conservative Republican. The race reached a new level in the final weeks when allegations of a so-called push poll came to light.
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In my last column, I wrote about Donald Trump’s job approval ratings among Republicans, Democrats and Independents, noting that his standing among all groups is important. But my primary focus for 2018 should be on Independents, who are likely to be the canary in the coal mine for the…
Sen. Jeff Flake’s announcement shouldn’t have come as a surprise to Inside Elections readers, considering we mentioned the scenario in our Sept. 15 issue.
Rarely does a party prefer an open seat over losing an incumbent. But Flake’s retirement may help the GOP hold his Arizona seat, giving Republicans an…
Nine months into their respective terms, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating is substantially worse than Barack Obama’s was among both partisan groups and Independents, according to Gallup polls.
Trump’s average job approval numbers for the week of October 9 stood at 79 percent among Republicans, 8 percent among…
Even when Democrats dominated the so-called Solid South, the GOP showed strength in mountain areas of the region. Northwestern Arkansas, eastern Tennessee, western North Carolina and western Virginia all had substantial Republican sympathies.
But now that the national Republican Party has transitioned from the Party of Lincoln to the party…
At the beginning of the cycle, it seemed almost certain that Republicans would expand their majority. With 25 Democratic senators up for re-election in 2018, compared to just eight Republican senators, the map is dramatically tilted in the GOP’s favor. But nearly halfway through the midterm cycle, even the best…