Michigan is surprisingly relevant in 2020.
The Democratic presidential nominee almost certainly has to carry the state next year to have any chance of denying President Donald Trump a second term. And Republicans are eyeing the seat of first-term Democratic Sen. Gary Peters.
Democrats must net three Senate seats next…
by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
With the growing correlation between presidential results and Senate results, the GOP majority should be fine if President Donald Trump replicates his 2016 Electoral College map, even if Republicans lose a seat or two. But if Trump slips, Senate Republicans could feel the…
Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). Nov. 8 filing deadline. March 3 primary. March 31 runoff. There might be only one way Jones is elected to a full term, but that scenario could come true. Republicans in Washington are working to make sure Roy Moore, who lost the…
Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Veteran Amy McGrath is likely to challenge the majority leader. She was one of Democrats’ highest-profile House challengers in 2018, but lost to GOP Rep.…
North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). Dec. 20 filing. March 3 primary. Tillis defeated Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in one of the closest races of the 2014 cycle and next year’s race could be headed for a similar margin. Republicans have a narrow 50-49 percent Baseline advantage. President…
Most people in politics are intensely focused on President Donald Trump’s polling numbers in battleground states or the latest horse race numbers in the fight for the Democratic presidential nomination. For those of us in the CMAG group at Kantar, it’s that time of the election cycle when everyone is…
Republicans in Washington are working overtime to make sure Roy Moore isn’t the party’s Senate nominee again. But even though it might get uncomfortable for the GOP, Moore shouldn’t be dismissed in the primary or general elections.
Republican Richard Shelby, Alabama’s senior senator, got ahead of Moore’s Thursday Senate announcement,…
New Mexico may not be leading the national political discussion in 2020, but that’s not because of a lack of political activity.
As the 2020 election cycle first took shape, it seemed like a handful of states would attract the most political attention: House Democrats are targeting Arizona, Minnesota, and…
The fight for the Senate starts off with only a handful of seats at risk. And that’s being generous.
A few other states are worth your attention because of their competitiveness or questions about President Donald Trump’s impact, but almost two-thirds of Senate contests this cycle start as “safe” for…
Montana Gov. Steve Bullock isn’t one of the leading Democratic contenders for the 2020 presidential nomination, but he’s learning how to turn a Republican attack into an asset for his campaign.
On May 29, the GOP-affiliated Senate Leadership Fund started a television ad campaign in the Missoula media market, according…
