California’s 13th District. Former state Assemblyman Adam Gray is running against freshman Republican John Duarte in this Central Valley district Democrats need to win to retake the majority. In 2022, Duarte beat Gray by 564 votes in the second-closest House race in the country. Toss-up.
Iowa’s 1st District. Former state…
By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey, & Jacob Rubashkin
Be prepared. With Senate candidates delaying their entry into competitive races and key senators withholding their re-election decisions, and the parties set to nominate two unpopular presidential nominees in a rematch no one is excited about, it feels like we’re in…
Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. The state of the Arizona Senate race has remained static for the past several months. This is largely due to the indecision of two potential candidates: Sinema, and 2022 GOP gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake.
The senator…
Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. The picture in Maryland got a little clearer when progressive hero Rep. Jamie Raskin opted out of running to succeed Cardin. That leaves 6th District Rep. David Trone and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks as the top…
Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline Feb. 2024. Republicans dodged a massive bullet when state Sen. Doug Mastriano announced that he wouldn’t run for Senate after all. Mastriano’s 15-point loss to Josh Shapiro in last November’s gubernatorial race proved he can’t win…
As Montana has become increasingly Republican, the GOP has failed to dislodge Democratic Sen. Jon Tester from his perch in Washington.
Tester is one of three Democratic senators up for re-election in a state Donald Trump carried in 2020, along with Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown (who is running for re-election)…
Alaska’s At-Large District. Nick Begich, the Republican candidate who came in third place in the top-four primary for Alaska’s open House seat last cycle, announced his campaign on Thursday. Considering President Donald Trump won Alaska by 10 points in 2020, Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola is vulnerable for re-election. But Alaska’s…
Arizona Senate. Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is hosting a fundraiser for Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego — notable because Democrats’ Senate leadership has avoided talking about this race while independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema is still undecided about seeking re-election. Battleground.
California’s 30th District. Physician Alex Balekian changed his party affiliation…
After fumbling away an opportunity to win a competitive U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania in 2022, Republicans have a second chance in 2024. But in many ways, unseating Democratic Sen. Bob Casey will be an even greater challenge.
Joe Biden barely won the Keystone State two years prior, and Republicans…
California Senate. Silicon Valley executive Lexi Reese, most recently the COO of payroll processor Gusto, launched an exploratory bid as a Democrat. While Reese has assembled a credible team and has the capacity to self-fund, it’s not clear she’ll be able to break into the top tier of candidates that…
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