House News & Analysis

Georgia 6 Special: Unreasonably Great Expectations

by Stuart Rothenberg February 27, 2017 · 9:05 AM EST

The hype about the special election in Georgia’s 6th District has already begun even though the runoff, which will choose the next member of Congress, won’t be held until June 20.

The Daily 202, James Hohmann’s briefing from the Washington Post, went so far as to assert that the…

Congressional Republicans Should Be Afraid of Steve Bannon

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2017 · 2:47 PM EST

It’s no secret that Steve Bannon wants to oversee the demise of the mainstream media, but President Donald Trump’s senior adviser probably wouldn’t mind incapacitating the Republican Party in order to remake it into his own image as well. 

Bannon (and Trump, for that matter) referred to the media, as…

New York 24: Katko Stands Tall Between Democrats and Takeover

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:30 PM EST

Less than a month into Donald Trump’s presidency, Democrats are feeling emboldened. Hundreds of thousands of people marched through the streets of Washington, D.C. and cities across the country to demonstrate their opposition to the new president. 

While Democrats were dealt a difficult map in the Senate, party strategists immediately…

Analyzing House Democrats’ Initial Target List

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:29 PM EST

Democrats are still recovering from a severe case of whiplash after losing the White House and making minimal gains in Congress in 2016. But House strategists aren’t wasting any time and have already released an ambitious list of 59 takeover targets. 

After gaining six seats last year, Democrats still need…

Analyzing House Republicans’ Initial Target List

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:28 PM EST

Not to be outdone, the National Republican Congressional Committee released its initial list of House takeover targets a little more than a week after the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee revealed its list. 

The GOP list of 36 districts currently held by Democrats is smaller than Democrats’ 59, but Republicans have…

Special Election Update: Watch Georgia’s 6th District

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:27 PM EST

As the Senate confirms President Donald Trump’s cabinet members, the special elections to replace some of them are starting to take shape. 

Late Thursday night, Republicans in Kansas’ 4th District selected state Treasurer Ron Estes as the GOP nominee to replace Mike Pompeo, who was confirmed as Trump’s CIA director.…

Fight Over Congressional Redistricting Begins With Key Gubernatorial Contests

by Stuart Rothenberg February 8, 2017 · 9:00 AM EST

While the 2020 census is still three years away, the fight for control of the congressional redistricting process is underway -- in developing gubernatorial contests in a handful of key states.

Yes, there are plenty of unknowns about reapportionment and redistricting, since the courts, the Trump Justice Department and state…

Three Trump Campaign Aides Who Could Get Elected to Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2017 · 10:14 AM EST

During the campaign, there probably weren’t enough full-throated Donald Trump supporters on Capitol Hill to fill a minivan. But two Trump campaign aides could get elected in House special elections later this year, while another adviser may challenge a Republican senator in a primary next year.

Their candidacies will test…

Trump’s Fast Start Likely Puts the House in Play in 2018

by Stuart Rothenberg January 30, 2017 · 10:43 AM EST

President Donald Trump is off to a fast start, but that aggressiveness could produce the same sort of reaction that Barack Obama’s fast start did in 2009: It could lead to a midterm election in which voters apply the brakes.

In 2010, voters told President Obama that he had gone…

South Carolina 5 Special: Mulvaney Moving On

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2017 · 4:19 PM EST

South Carolina was supposed to be the place where Jeb Bush resurrected his campaign. The place where Donald Trump’s momentum would be stalled. But Trump prevailed in the Palmetto State primary last year, and now he’s tapped two South Carolina Republicans for initial cabinet-level positions.

Trump selected Republican Gov. Nikki…