House News & Analysis

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) Alabama - Iowa

November 10, 2017 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Feb. 9 filing deadline. June 5 primary.

2nd District (Martha Roby, R, re-elected in 2016 with 49%). 2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 65%. The congresswoman looked at risk of another primary challenger after facing down one in 2016 and getting less than 50 percent in the general election when a…

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) Kansas - New York

November 10, 2017 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 7 primary.

2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Trump 56%. The combination of an open seat and a strong Democratic candidate makes this a competitive race, even though Trump won handily. Former state House Minority Leader Paul Davis carried the 2nd…

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) North Carolina - Wyoming

November 10, 2017 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. Feb. 28 filing deadline. May 8 primary.

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Businessman Sam Searcy, who owns a vodka distillery and has the ability to self-fund, could mount a serious challenge to Holding. Searcy raised just $95,000 in the third quarter but put in…

Candidate Conversation - Lauren Baer (D)

November 10, 2017 · 2:26 PM EST

Lauren Baer

Candidate for Florida’s 18th District

Interview Date: Oct. 30, 2017

Date of Birth: Dec. 7, 1980; New York, N.Y.

Education: Harvard (2002), Oxford (Master’s 2004), Yale Law School (2007)

Elected Office: None; first run for office

Current Outlook: Democrat Patrick Murphy held this seat for two terms before…

Candidate Conversation - Paul Davis (D)

November 10, 2017 · 2:25 PM EST

Paul Davis 

Candidate for Kansas’ 2nd District

Interview Date: Oct. 12, 2017

Date of Birth: July 12, 1972; Woodland, Ca.

Education: University of Kansas (1995), Washburn Law School (1997)

Elected Office: State House (former); 2014 gubernatorial nominee

Current Outlook: Davis is running for Republican Lynn Jenkins’ open seat, which Trump…

Candidate Conversation - Roger Dean Huffstetler (D)

November 10, 2017 · 2:24 PM EST

Roger Dean Huffstetler 

Candidate for Virginia’s 5th District

Interview Date: Oct. 12, 2017

Date of Birth: April 28, 1978; Gaston County, N.C.

Education: University of Georgia (2001), Harvard (MBA/MPA; 2010)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Huffstetler is one of the top Democrats challenging GOP Rep. Tom…

Ten Thoughts after Democrats’ Big Wins in Virginia

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 8, 2017 · 12:51 PM EST

Everyone take a deep breath. We’re all starving for tangible election results and now we have them. But just as the previous Republican wins in congressional special elections didn’t guarantee the party would have a good 2018, losses on Tuesday night don’t necessarily tell us a Democratic wave in the…

Please Don’t Call It a Push Poll: Transgender Edition

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2017 · 4:23 PM EST

Danica Roem and Bob Marshall are facing off in an unusually high-profile race for the Virginia House of Delegates — Roem, a transgender Democrat, is challenging Marshall, a conservative Republican. The race reached a new level in the final weeks when allegations of a so-called push poll came to light.

Rating Change: LoBiondo Retirement Makes GOP Seat More Vulnerable

November 7, 2017 · 3:26 PM EST

GOP Rep. Frank LoBiondo’s retirement gives Democrats a better opportunity to win New Jersey’s 2nd District. 

Democrats have had their eye on the South Jersey seat for years, particularly after President Barack Obama won the seat by 8 points in 2012. But the party has struggled to find a…

Why You Should Focus on Independents from Now to the Midterms

by Stuart Rothenberg November 1, 2017 · 9:03 AM EDT

In my last column, I wrote about Donald Trump’s job approval ratings among Republicans, Democrats and Independents, noting that his standing among all groups is important. But my primary focus for 2018 should be on Independents, who are likely to be the canary in the coal mine for the…