House News & Analysis

Watch the Polls, Ignore the Post-Shutdown Chatter

by Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2018 · 9:11 AM EST

Over the past few weeks, members of Congress, journalists and television hosts agreed on one thing: The looming government shutdown was a huge deal. Then, after the shutdown ended, those same people pontificated about who won and who lost, as well as about liberal dissatisfaction with the deal to open…

Pennsylvania 7: How Do You Rate a Race for a Seat that Doesn’t Exist?

January 26, 2018 · 11:50 AM EST

The deep, dark secret of political handicapping is that there isn’t a singular equation that can project the winner of each congressional race. It is helpful to know who is running and where they are running. But thanks to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court throwing out the congressional map and…

9 Things to Know about Pennsylvania’s 7th District Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 22, 2018 · 12:00 PM EST

Republican Rep. Pat Meehan of Pennsylvania is the latest Member hit with allegations of sexual misconduct, putting his suburban Philadelphia seat at even more risk of a Democratic takeover. 

GOP Leadership removed Meehan from the Ethics Committee within hours of the initial New York Times report that he…

Arizona 8 Special: Franks’ Resignation Opens Up Republican Seat

by Leah Askarinam January 19, 2018 · 2:30 PM EST

Republicans looking to rebound from a historic special election loss in Alabama might look to Arizona’s 8th District.

In December, a female staffer reported that GOP Rep. Trent Franks pressured her to be a surrogate for the congressman and his wife, allegedly offering her $5 million. Franks announced he would…

It’s OK to Pause Before Declaring a Wave

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 19, 2018 · 2:29 PM EST

A massive Democratic tsunami could be developing and hit the country this November, wiping out Republicans in a historic rout. It could be the biggest, most luxurious electoral wave in the history of the country. It feels like everyone is certain of it. 

But I’m uncomfortable declaring that I know…

Ohio 12 Special: Democrats and Republicans Seek Tiberi’s Seat

by Leah Askarinam January 19, 2018 · 2:28 PM EST

GOP Rep. Pat Tiberi’s decision to leave Congress to lead the Ohio Business Roundtable opens up the 12th District for the first time in 17 years. 

For Republicans, it’s an opportunity to elect a candidate in the vein of term-limited Gov. John Kasich and the former congressman, who are regarded…

For Republicans, McSally Senate Run is Blessing, Curse

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 19, 2018 · 2:27 PM EST

Arizona Rep. Martha McSally’s Senate run is a good example of differing goals within the Republican Party. To GOP strategists focused on maintaining the majority in the Senate, McSally’s campaign for retiring Sen. Jeff Flake’s seat was a boost. But she leaves behind a competitive 2nd District that will be…

Candidate Conversation - Brendan Kelly (D)

January 19, 2018 · 2:26 PM EST

Candidate for Illinois’ 12th District

Interview Date: Oct. 12, 2016

Date of Birth: June 6, 1976; Tampa, Fla.

Education: Univ. of Notre Dame (1998), St. Louis University Law School (2004) 

Elected Office: St. Clair County State’s Attorney

Current Outlook: The Downstate Illinois district isn’t Clinton country, but Democrats believe Kelly…

Candidate Conversation - Stacey Evans (D)

January 19, 2018 · 2:25 PM EST

Candidate for Georgia Governor

Interview Date: Nov. 30, 2017

Date of Birth: May 5, 1978; Ringgold, Ga.

Education: Univ. of Georgia (2000, law school 2003)

Elected Office: State House

Current Outlook: Republican Gov. Nathan Deal can’t run for re-election because of term limits, leaving behind an open seat and a…

Candidate Conversation - Van Taylor (R)

January 19, 2018 · 2:24 PM EST

Candidate for Texas’ 3rd District 

Interview Date: Nov. 10, 2017

Date of Birth: August 1, 1972; Dallas, Texas

Education: Harvard Univ. (Bachelor’s 1995, MBA 2001)

Elected Office: State Senate; State House (former); 17th District nominee (2006) 

Current Outlook: GOP Rep. Sam Johnson’s retirement opens up a safe GOP seat in…