House News & Analysis
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
With Democrats marching to the left in the presidential primary, and new, progressive faces in Congress rising to prominence, some Republicans are confident in their relative standing. But they’ve got a difficult path to the House majority in 2020.
Republicans may dismiss a…
Alabama.
1st District (Greater Mobile) Open; Bradley Byrne, R, running for Senate. Trump 64%. A crowded Republican primary, including Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl, former state Sen. Bill Hightower, state Rep. Chris Pringle, businessman Wes Lambert, and potentially others, is inevitable for this open seat. Solid R.
2nd District (Southeastern…
Kansas.
1st District (Western Kansas) Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%. Trump 69%. The congressman is angling for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, and could create an open House seat. The most important race would be the primary. Businessman and farmer Gary Harshberger of Dodge City is a potentially strong…
North Carolina.
2nd District (Raleigh exurbs) George Holding, R, re-elected 51%. Trump 53%. Some Democrats are hoping Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Scott Cooper ($178,000 on hand on June 30) puts them over the top in the Raleigh suburbs. But Monika Johnson-Hostler just entered the Democratic race as well. Holding ($408,000) better…
GOP Rep. Sean Duffy of Wisconsin will resign in September, he announced Monday. His decision will likely prompt a special election, but Republicans are the early favorites to hold the seat.
“Recently, we’ve learned that our baby, due in late October, will need even more love, time, and attention due…
It might be August of the off-year, and presidential candidates are getting virtually all of the attention, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to ignore House elections.
North Carolina’s 9th District is holding a unique “redo” election Sept. 10, after the state Board of Elections found irregularities in Republican Mark…
After a flurry of House retirement announcements over the last few weeks, it’s tough to keep them all straight. So here’s a brief rundown of the current slate of open seats including our current race rating.
Don’t forget, we’re still well below the average number of retirements for a cycle.…
Another day, another Republican retirement.
It might seem like there’s a flood of Members announcing they will not seek re-election, but we’re still not close to historical levels. And the location of the open seats matters more than the timing.
It's remarkable that Rep. Kenny Marchant is the fourth Texas…
Will Hurd of Texas has been considered one of Republicans’ strongest incumbents. He proved that point in 2018, when he was one of just three Republicans to win re-election in a district that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016.
But Hurd, who founded a cybersecurity firm before running for Congress, announced…
Republicans Reps. Pete Olson of Texas and Paul Mitchell of Michigan recently announced they will not seek re-election, but how much does their decision impact the fight for the House majority? Open seats are usually more vulnerable than districts where an incumbent is seeking another term, but these two retirements…