Kansas’ 4th District. Montana’s At-Large district. Georgia’s 6th District. South Carolina’s 5th District. Alabama’s U.S. Senate seat. Pennsylvania’s 18th District. Arizona’s 8th District.
Throughout 2017 and into early 2018, election watchers kept seeing the same movie over and over: Special elections in heavily Republican areas were way closer than they…
The unprecedented redistricting arms race of 2025 continues apace. After Texas Republicans redrew their state’s congressional map with the goal of flipping from three to five House seats, California Democrats voted to place their own new congressional map before voters this November that would…
When Vice President JD Vance traveled to Michigan earlier this month, he chose a welding plant in Michigan’s 7th District as his backdrop. It was a clear indicator of just how important the Lansing-area swing seat is to the fight for the House majority in 2026.
The 7th is currently…
Arizona’s 7th District. Democrat Adelita Grijalva won the special general election on Tuesday, 69-30 percent over Republican Daniel Butierez, in the race to replace her late father. Even with some votes still being counted, the result is yet another overperformance for Democrats in special elections considering Kamala Harris received 60…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…
By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales
Approaching halfway through the cycle, the fight for the House majority remains the marquee event of the midterms. While the Senate usually gets more of the attention, the size of the GOP majority and slate of states on the ballot has made that…
Alabama. Filing deadline Jan. 23. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16.
1st District (Southern Alabama) Open; Barry Moore, R, running for Senate. Trump 77%. Former Rep. Jerry Carl is seeking his old seat back after losing to Moore in a member vs. member primary last year. The…
Kentucky. Filing deadline Jan. 9. Primary May 19.
6th District (Greater Lexington area) Open; Andy Barr, R, running for Senate. Trump 57%. Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado, state Rep. Ryan Dotson, and state Rep. Deanna Frazier Gordon make up the GOP primary field. On the Democratic side, former state…
North Carolina. Filing deadline Dec. 19. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, re-elected 49.5%. Trump 51%. National Republican strategists like Rocky Mount Mayor Sandy Roberson, who narrowly lost the 2022 GOP primary. He’s personally wealthy and has already…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting effort encouraged by President Donald…
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