House News & Analysis
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
While the race for the White House dominates the news, the fight for the Senate is closer.
The easiest thing to do after 2016 would be to declare every race with President Donald Trump on the ballot as a toss-up. But that would…
Alaska.
At-Large District. Don Young, R, re-elected 53%. Trump 51%. Like Al Gross in this state’s Senate race, Alyse Galvin was affected by the Alaska Division of Elections’ decision to remove the “undeclared” label from independents running with a major party nomination. Unlike Gross, Galvin has sued the Division…
Virginia’s 5th District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: Sept. 14, 2020 (Zoom)
Date of Birth: June 21, 1983; Fairfax, Va.
Education: Univ of Virginia (2005); Loyola Univ. Chicago School of Law (2012); Wake Forest School of Medicine (2013)
Elected Office: None.
Current Outlook: The dynamic of this race shifted…
Alabama.
2nd District (Southeastern Alabama) Open; Martha Roby, R, not seeking re-election. Trump 65%. Republican nominee Barry Moore landed in hot water after he shared a meme defending alleged Kenosha murderer Kyle Rittenhouse on Facebook. After facing backlash, Moore deleted the meme and wrote a lengthy post apologizing for…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
This election cycle, and even just this year, has been filled with multiple historic events: the impeachment of a president, a global pandemic, near economic collapse, a national conversation about racism in America, and the first Black woman on a presidential ticket. Through…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
California.
25th District (Northern Los Angeles County suburbs) Mike Garcia, R, elected in May 2020 special election 55%. Clinton 50%. If the election were held today, Garcia would probably be the favorite to get elected to a full term after winning the…
Iowa’s 1st District — Rating: Tilt Democratic
Interview Date: July 29, 2020 (Google Meet)
Date of Birth: June 27, 1983; Des Moines, Iowa
Education: Univ. of Southern California (2004)
Elected Office: State Representative (2017-present)
Current Outlook: Hinson is a top challenger in a district Donald Trump carried by more than…
Indiana’s 5th District — Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: July 30, 2020 (Google Meet)
Date of Birth: Oct. 6, 1978; Ukraine
Education: Kyiv National Economic Univ. (2000); Indiana Univ-Purdue Univ. Indianapolis (MAcc)
Elected Office: State Senator (2017-present)
Current Outlook: Spartz won a convincing GOP primary victory with 40 percent in…
Texas’ 25th District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: August 14, 2020 (Zoom)
Date of Birth: July 25, 1972; South Oak Cliff (Dallas), Texas
Education: Univ. of Texas-Arlington (1995); Univ. of Texas law school (1998)
Elected Office: None; 2018 25th District nominee
Current Outlook: Oliver is in a longshot race…
The 2020 elections are still more than two months away, but I’ve…