House News & Analysis
Florida’s 20th District
Self-funding healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was certified as the winner of the Democratic primary to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings, meaning she’s the prohibitive favorite to win the special general election on Jan. 11. The result came after a recount that confirmed Cherfilus-McCormick won five…

One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved a plan…
Republicans defeated two of the three Democratic members in Iowa in 2020 and are hoping to finish the job next year. Beating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne would give the GOP full control of the four-member delegation and a net gain of one seat on their march to the majority.
After…
New Jersey’s 11th — Rating: To Be Determined After Redistricting
Interview Date: Oct. 13, 2021 (via Zoom)
Date of Birth: July 6, 1993 (Hackensack, New Jersey)
Education: Iona College (2015)
Elected Office: None. First run for office.
Current Outlook: Toomey is one of several Republicans hoping to take on two-term…
Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG.
Early last week, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer set a new October 31st deadline for the passage of the remainder of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better plan, composed of the administration’s proposed infrastructure policies not found in the earlier “American Rescue…
On Sept. 29, Maine became the second state to finalize its congressional districts for the next decade, capping a six-week process more notable for what it wasn’t: contentious, protracted, or extensive.
With just two districts to draw, minimal population shifts, and a redistricting scheme that encouraged compromise, the whole ordeal…
In the late hours of Sept. 28, Colorado’s independent redistricting commission approved a new congressional map. The Centennial State was allocated an additional representative in Congress during this year’s decennial reapportionment, and (pending final approval from the state Supreme Court) we now know what the new 8th District…
Three years later, Republicans still aren’t convinced Rep. Bruce Poliquin lost re-election in 2018. But the former GOP congressman from Maine is running again and is a key piece of the GOP path to retake the House.
Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to win back the…
The next presidential election is more than three years away, and even the midterms won’t happen for another 14 months. Yet President Joe Biden could be on the brink of losing something costly: the benefit of the doubt.
While I’m on the record as skeptical that Afghanistan will be…
With history, redistricting, and the current national political environment on their side, Republicans are on the march to the House majority. And if they make big gains in 2022, Minnesota’s 2nd District is likely to be in that batch of takeovers.
Democrats are facing the worst national environment since the…