House News & Analysis

Hawaii Redistricting: Blue Islands in a Blue Ocean

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 18, 2022 · 2:28 PM EDT

Hawaii is one of the only states with more than one House seat where congressional district lines don’t matter all that much. 

At the most basic level, Hawaii is a very Democratic state. Joe Biden won it by 30 points, 64 percent to 34 percent, in 2020 and the GOP…

Arkansas Redistricting: Little Rock Cracked

by Jacob Rubashkin March 16, 2022 · 11:56 AM EDT

In 2011, the last vestiges of the Democratic legislative majority in Arkansas drew a congressional map aimed to send at least two Democrats in Congress even as the party was in freefall. 

The plan backfired, and after the 2012 elections, Republicans held all four of the state’s seats.

But later…

Wisconsin Redistricting: Just One Badger Battle

by Jacob Rubashkin March 15, 2022 · 10:41 AM EDT

With a Democratic governor and a GOP-controlled legislature, redistricting in Wisconsin was destined to be settled by the court system — especially given how acrimonious the relationship is between Gov. Tony Evers and Republicans in Madison.

But most of the drama was taken out of the redistricting process several months…

Pennsylvania Redistricting: Keys to the Keystone

by Jacob Rubashkin March 11, 2022 · 12:25 PM EST

With a Democratic governor and GOP-controlled legislature, Pennsylvania’s redistricting process was bound for the courts from the beginning. Democrats even filed lawsuits preemptively in the commonwealth to prepare for that possibility.

After Gov. Tom Wolf vetoed the legislature’s map, the courts stepped in. First, a conservative lower court…

South Carolina Redistricting: Palmetto State Palm Reading

by Bradley Wascher March 10, 2022 · 12:43 PM EST

South Carolina’s new congressional map, approved in late January, will likely entrench Republicans’ electoral advantage for the next decade.

Compared to the outgoing districts, the new lines saw minimal changes — a conscious decision on the part of GOP mapmakers — with the most noticeable differences in the…

California 22 Special: Short Term Assignment

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 4, 2022 · 2:26 PM EST

Typically, congressional seats without an incumbent generate a crowd of aspiring candidates. But an upcoming special election for a vacant seat in California’s Central Valley has drawn little interest. 

GOP Rep. Devin Nunes resigned from California’s 22nd District on Jan. 3 in order to lead former President Donald Trump’s new…

Texas Primary Takeaways

by Jacob Rubashkin March 2, 2022 · 4:07 PM EST

Voters officially kicked off the midterms in Texas Tuesday night, heading to the polls to select party nominees for Congress, governor, and other statewide offices. The results were largely as expected, though a few races will head to runoffs on May 24 because no candidate secured a majority of the…

Kentucky Redistricting: Still One Blue Bluegrass Seat

by Bradley Wascher February 22, 2022 · 2:26 PM EST

Despite some drama, Kentucky’s new congressional map is poised to solidify the delegation’s existing partisan breakdown. 

Heading into redistricting, the Republican-controlled state legislature had the opportunity to go aggressive and potentially move the Democratic-held 3rd District into the GOP’s column. But ultimately Republicans left the 3rd intact, and…

2022 House Overview (February 18, 2022): Republicans Still in Driver’s Seat

February 18, 2022 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

Democrats enjoyed a round of positive media stories because of their perceived success in redistricting. But don’t get distracted; Republicans are still well positioned to win back the House majority. 

Even though a handful of key states haven’t finished the process, there’s a…

2022 House Overview (February 18, 2022): Alabama - Iowa

February 18, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Current breakdown: 6R, 1D. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). Alabama’s redistricting process was briefly thrown into limbo after a three-judge panel found the state’s map violated the Voting Rights Act, but in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court stayed the panel’s order until the justices can…